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Question

Which informal fallacy is committed in the following argument - "Scientists have been trying for centuries to disprove the claims of astrology, and none of them has ever succeeded. Therefore, we must conclude that astrology's claims are true" ?

This question was previously asked in
UGC NET 2022 Paper 1 Question Paper (22-Oct-2022) (Shift 2)
The correct answer is

Aurgumentum ad Ignorantian (appeal to ignorance)

The argument provided in the question is: "Scientists have been trying for centuries to disprove the claims of astrology, and none of them has ever succeeded. Therefore, we must conclude that astrology's claims are true." Let's analyze this argument to identify the type of informal fallacy.

  1. Understanding the Argument: The argument hinges on the idea that because astrology has not been disproven by scientists over a long period, its claims must be true. This logic is flawed because the inability to disprove a claim does not inherently establish it as true.
  2. Identifying the Fallacy: The argument exemplifies the fallacy known as Argumentum ad Ignorantiam, also referred to as an "appeal to ignorance". This fallacy occurs when it is argued that a proposition is true simply because it has not yet been proven false, or vice versa.
  3. Ruling Out Other Fallacies:
    • Slippery Slope: This fallacy suggests that one thing will lead to another, often without logical progression. It is not applicable here as the argument does not involve a chain reaction of events.
    • Hasty Generalization: This occurs when a conclusion is drawn from insufficient evidence. The argument does not fit this pattern as it does not generalize from limited data but rather concludes from a lack of disproof.
    • False Cause: This fallacy, also known as post hoc ergo propter hoc, applies when a cause is incorrectly identified. The argument does not claim causality; it claims truth based on the absence of disproof.
  4. Conclusion: Based on this analysis, the argument commits the Argumentum ad Ignorantiam fallacy. The correct answer is therefore Argumentum ad Ignorantiam (appeal to ignorance).
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Important Questions from Formal and Informal Fallacies

  1. Which logical fallacy is committed in the following statement - "I do not believe that serial killers ought to be allowed to live. They have forfeited their right to live because anyone who kills lots of people has lost that right".

  2. Which of the following statements are logically equivalent?

    A. Some physicists are outstanding professors.

    B. Some physicists are not non-outstanding professors.

    C. No outstanding professors are physicists.

    D. Some non-outstanding professors are not non-physicists.

    Choose the correct answer from the options given below:

  3. According to classical Indian School of Logic (Nyāya) which fallacy is committed in the following statement - "The hill has fire because it is knowable"?

  4. Which fallacy is committed in the following statement - "God exists since it is written in the scriptures. Since the scriptures are the words of God, whatever is written in them is true."?
  5. "This is the richest fraternity on the campus; therefore Mr. X who is a member of this fraternity must be one of the richest young man on the campus." Which fallacy is involved in this argument ?
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