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Question

What is hypothesis? Critically evaluate the significance of hypothesis in social research.

This question was previously asked in
UPSC CSE 2025 (Prelims) CSAT Official Paper (25-May-2025)

A hypothesis in social research is a testable, educated guess or a provisional statement proposing a relationship between two or more variables. It's a specific, falsifiable prediction derived from theory or observation.

Its significance is crucial, especially in quantitative research. It provides clear direction, guiding data collection and analysis by defining what is being investigated. Hypotheses make research empirically testable, allowing for verification or refutation, thus contributing to scientific knowledge and theory building.

Critically, reliance on hypotheses can introduce confirmation bias, leading researchers to selectively seek supportive evidence. They can also limit inquiry, potentially overlooking unexpected findings. For qualitative or exploratory studies, a rigid hypothesis may be less relevant, as these prioritize open-ended understanding over proving pre-conceived relationships. This shows hypotheses are vital yet not universally applicable.

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