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Question

Moore's Law is a rule of thumb stated by Intel co-founder Gordon Moore that the number of transistors on a chip doubles every _____ months.

This question was previously asked in
RRB ALP 2018 CBT 2 Fitter Question Paper (21-Jan-2019) (Shift 3)
The correct answer is

18

Understanding Moore's Law and Transistor Doubling

Moore's Law is a famous observation made by Gordon Moore, one of the co-founders of Intel. It's not a physical law of nature but rather an empirical rule of thumb that has accurately predicted the trend in the semiconductor industry for decades.

What is Moore's Law?

The core idea of Moore's Law is about the incredible pace of improvement in microchip technology. Specifically, it states that the number of transistors that can be placed on an integrated circuit, or microchip, tends to double periodically.

The Time Frame for Transistor Doubling

The question asks about the specific time period over which this doubling occurs, according to Gordon Moore's initial statement. Let's examine the options provided:

  • 18 months
  • 30 months
  • 12 months
  • 24 months

According to Gordon Moore's original observation in 1965, he predicted that the number of components (initially resistors, later transistors) on an integrated circuit would double approximately every year. However, this was later refined. The commonly cited version of Moore's Law, which has held true for a long time, suggests the doubling occurs approximately every 18 to 24 months, with 18 months being the most frequently quoted figure associated with the original prediction's refinement.

Given the options and the standard understanding of Moore's Law, the period for the number of transistors on a chip to double is typically cited as 18 months.

Significance of Moore's Law

Moore's Law has been a driving force behind the rapid advancements in computing and electronics over the past several decades. The ability to pack more and more transistors onto a smaller chip has led to:

  • Increased processing power and speed
  • Reduced cost per transistor
  • Smaller and more energy-efficient devices

This continuous improvement has made possible everything from personal computers and smartphones to advanced AI systems and global communication networks.

Conclusion on Moore's Law Doubling Time

Based on the historical context and common understanding of Moore's Law, the number of transistors on a chip doubles approximately every 18 months.

Revision Table: Key Concepts of Moore's Law

Concept Description
What it is An observation/prediction about the semiconductor industry.
Stated by Gordon Moore (Intel co-founder).
Core Idea Number of transistors on a microchip doubles periodically.
Time Frame Approximately every 18 months (commonly cited).
Impact Drives innovation in computing, leads to more powerful, cheaper, smaller devices.

Additional Information on Moore's Law and Semiconductors

While often stated as exactly 18 months, it's worth noting that the specific period has varied over time and depends on various factors including technological breakthroughs and economic considerations. Some interpretations suggest the doubling of performance or cost-efficiency every 18 months, while others focus strictly on transistor count.

Moore's Law has faced challenges in recent years as transistors approach atomic limits. While the rate of progress may be slowing down or changing, the semiconductor industry continues to find innovative ways to improve chip capabilities, although perhaps not strictly following the original 18-month doubling curve for transistor density alone.

The concept remains highly relevant as a benchmark and driver for research and development in microelectronics and computing power.

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