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Question

Four fair coins are tossed simultaneously. Given that at least two heads appear, what is the probability that exactly three heads occur?

This question was previously asked in
UPTET 2026 Paper 2 Social Studies Question Paper (3-Jul-2026) (Shift 1)
The correct answer is

4/11

With 4 coins, the total number of outcomes is \(2^4 = 16\).

The number of ways to get exactly \(k\) heads is \(\binom{4}{k}\): for 2 heads it is \(\binom{4}{2} = 6\), for 3 heads \(\binom{4}{3} = 4\), and for 4 heads \(\binom{4}{4} = 1\).

So the event "at least two heads" has \(6 + 4 + 1 = 11\) outcomes.

Using conditional probability, \(P(\text{exactly 3} \mid \text{at least 2}) = \dfrac{4}{11}\).

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Important Questions from Probability of Random Experiments

  1. A, B, C and D are mutually exclusive and exhaustive events.

    If 2P(A) = 3P(B) = 4P(C) = 5P(D), then what is 77P(A) equal to ?

  2. A fair coin is tossed 6 times. What is the probability of getting a result in the 6t h toss which is different from those obtained in the first five tosses ?

  3. Two cards are drawn successively without replacement from a well-shuffled pack of 52 cards. The probability of drawing two aces is

  4. A biased coin with the probability of getting head equal to \(\frac{1}{4}\) is tossed five times. What is the probability of getting tail in all the first four tosses followed by head ? 

  5. Three dice are thrown. What is the probability that each face shows only multiples of 3 ?

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