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Question

What is Scitovsky Paradox? Explain it in the context of Kaldor-Hicks compensation test.

This question was previously asked in
UPSC CSE 2025 (Prelims) CSAT Official Paper (25-May-2025)

The Scitovsky Paradox exposes a major weakness in the Kaldor-Hicks compensation test, a welfare economics criterion designed to evaluate potential improvements in social welfare. The Kaldor-Hicks test deems a policy change desirable if the gainers could, in principle, compensate the losers and still remain better off, even if such compensation does not actually occur. This aims to identify potential Pareto improvements.

The paradox arises because the test can generate contradictory results. Suppose society is initially in state A. A move to state B may satisfy the Kaldor-Hicks test—gainers from the shift could compensate the losers, making it appear as an improvement. However, if we now consider moving back from B to A, the test may also be satisfied, suggesting that the reverse move is also an improvement. This circularity implies that both A is preferred to B and B is preferred to A, which is logically inconsistent.

The inconsistency occurs because the evaluation of gains and losses depends on the prevailing prices and income distribution in each state. Moving from A to B, assessments are based on A’s relative prices and income, while the reverse move uses B’s. Since these conditions change after the policy shift, the ability of winners to compensate losers also changes, producing conflicting outcomes.

Thus, the Scitovsky Paradox demonstrates that the Kaldor-Hicks criterion, while broader than strict Pareto optimality, lacks internal consistency. It highlights the limitations of relying solely on potential compensation without accounting for actual distributional effects and shifting relative prices.

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Anushka Goel

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