Multiple Correlation Coefficient Properties
The sample multiple correlation coefficient, denoted here as $r$, measures the strength of the linear relationship between a dependent variable ($X_1$) and a set of predictor variables (e.g., $\{X_2, X_3\}$ or $\{X_2, X_3, X_4\}$).
Key properties of the multiple correlation coefficient ($R$) include:
- Non-negativity: The multiple correlation coefficient is always non-negative and cannot exceed 1. Mathematically, $0 \le r \le 1$.
- Monotonicity: Adding more predictor variables to the model can only increase or maintain the multiple correlation coefficient; it cannot decrease it. Therefore, when comparing $r_{1.23}$ (correlation with $X_2, X_3$) and $r_{1.234}$ (correlation with $X_2, X_3, X_4$), it must be that $r_{1.234} \ge r_{1.23}$.
Analyzing Coefficient Possibilities
Let's evaluate the given options based on these two properties:
- Option 1: $r_{1.23} = -0.3, r_{1.234} = 0.7$. This is impossible because multiple correlation coefficients cannot be negative (violates the non-negativity property).
- Option 2: $r_{1.23} = 0.7, r_{1.234} = 0.3$. This is impossible because adding variable $X_4$ decreased the correlation coefficient ($0.3 < 0.7$), violating the monotonicity property.
- Option 3: $r_{1.23} = 0.3, r_{1.234} = 0.7$. This is possible. Both values are within the range $[0, 1]$, and the coefficient increased ($0.7 \ge 0.3$) when an additional variable ($X_4$) was included.
- Option 4: $r_{1.23} = 0.7, r_{1.234} = -0.3$. This is impossible because the multiple correlation coefficient cannot be negative (violates the non-negativity property).
Conclusion
Based on the properties that multiple correlation coefficients must be between 0 and 1, and that they cannot decrease when more variables are added, only Option 3 presents a statistically possible scenario.