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Question

Suppose we draw a random sample of size $n$ from a population of size $N$, where $1 < n < N$, using simple random sampling without replacement scheme. Let $P$ be the population proportion of units possessing a particular attribute and $p$ be the corresponding sample proportion. Which of the following is an unbiased estimator for $P(1 - P)$?

The correct answer is
$\frac{n(N-1)}{N(n-1)} p(1 - p)$

To determine the unbiased estimator for \(P(1 - P)\), where \(P\) represents the population proportion, let's analyze the concept of simple random sampling without replacement.

In simple random sampling without replacement, we draw a sample from a finite population without putting it back, which affects the sample statistics. Here's the step-by-step logic:

  1. The sample proportion \(p\) is given by the formula: \(p = \frac{x}{n}\), where \(x\) represents the number of units with the attribute in the sample.
  2. The expectation of the sample proportion is equal to the population proportion: \(\mathbb{E}[p] = P\).
  3. The variance of the sample proportion \(p\) in case of sampling without replacement is adjusted with a finite population correction factor, and is given by: \(\mathrm{Var}(p) = \frac{P(1-P)}{n} \cdot \frac{N-n}{N-1}\).
  4. To get an unbiased estimator for \(P(1-P)\), we adjust \(p(1-p)\) to match this structure. We need: \(\frac{n(N-1)}{N(n-1)} p(1-p)\).

Thus, the correct unbiased estimator for the variance of the sample proportion, which is \(P(1 - P)\) under simple random sampling without replacement, is:

\(\frac{n(N-1)}{N(n-1)} p(1 - p)\)

This accounts for the finite population correction factor which is necessary because the samples are drawn without replacement.

Therefore, the correct option is:

\(\frac{n(N-1)}{N(n-1)} p(1 - p)\)

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Important Questions from Ratio And Regression

  1. Consider the problem of drawing a sample of size 2 from a finite population of size 20. The sampling is done with replacement using probability proportional to size sampling scheme. The normed size measures $p_1, \cdots, p_{20}$ are given by $p_i = \frac{1}{40}$, $i = 1, \cdots, 10, \; p_i = \frac{3}{40}$, $i = 11, \cdots, 20$. The expected number of distinct units drawn is
  2. Consider a finite population of size $N$. Let $T_1$ be the sample mean based on a sample of size $n$ under simple random sampling with replacement (SRSWR) scheme. Let $T_2$ be the sample mean based on a stratified random sample of size $n$ where the samples are drawn from each of 4 strata using SRSWR scheme under proportional allocation. Then which of the following are sufficient conditions for $\text{Var}(T_1) = \text{Var}(T_2)$ to hold?
  3. Suppose there are $k$ strata of $N = kM$ units each with size $M$. Draw a sample of size $n_i$ with replacement from the $i^{\text{th}}$ stratum and denote by $\bar{y}_i$ the sample mean of the study variable selected in the $i^{\text{th}}$ stratum, $i = 1, 2, \dots, k$. Define
    $$ \bar{y}_s = \frac{1}{k}\sum_{i=1}^k \bar{y}_i \text{ and } \bar{y}_w = \frac{\sum_{i=1}^k n_i \bar{y}_i}{n} $$
    Which of the following is necessarily true?

  4. Suppose there are $k$ groups each consisting of $N$ boys. We want to estimate the mean age $\mu$ of these $kN$ boys. Fix $1 < n < N$ and consider the following two sampling schemes. 

    I. Draw a simple random sample without replacement of size $kn$ out of all $kN$ boys. 

    II. From each of the $k$ groups draw a simple random sample with replacement of size $n$. 

    Let $\bar{Y}$ and $\bar{Y}_G$ be the respective sample mean ages for the two schemes. Which of the following are true?

  5. A sample of size $n (\ge 2)$ is drawn without replacement from a finite population of size $N$, using an arbitrary sampling scheme. Let $\pi_i$ denote the inclusion probability of the $i$-th unit and $\pi_{ij}$, the joint inclusion probability of units $i$ and $j, 1 \le i < j \le N$. Which of the following statements is always true?
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