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Question

Let $\{X_i\}_{i \geq 1}$ be a sequence of i.i.d. random variables with $E(X_i) = 0$ and $V(X_i) = 1$. Which of the following are true?

Analyzing Convergence in Probability

We are given a sequence of independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.) random variables $\{X_i\}_{i \geq 1}$ with $E(X_i) = 0$ and $V(X_i) = 1$. We need to identify the statements that hold true regarding convergence in probability.

Convergence of Sums: $\sum X_i$

Let $S_n = \sum_{i=1}^n X_i$. We know $E(S_n) = n E(X_i) = n \times 0 = 0$ and $V(S_n) = n V(X_i) = n \times 1 = n$.

  • Option 3: Consider $\frac{1}{n^{1/2}} \sum_{i=1}^n X_i = \frac{S_n}{n^{1/2}}$. The variance is $V\left(\frac{S_n}{n^{1/2}}\right) = \frac{V(S_n)}{(n^{1/2})^2} = \frac{n}{n} = 1$. Since the variance is constant and non-zero, and by the Central Limit Theorem (CLT), $\frac{S_n}{n^{1/2}}$ converges in distribution to $N(0, 1)$, it does not converge to 0 in probability. Thus, option 3 is false.
  • Option 2 (B): Consider $\frac{1}{n^{3/4}} \sum_{i=1}^n X_i = \frac{S_n}{n^{3/4}}$. The variance is $V\left(\frac{S_n}{n^{3/4}}\right) = \frac{V(S_n)}{(n^{3/4})^2} = \frac{n}{n^{3/2}} = \frac{1}{n^{1/2}}$. As $n \to \infty$, the variance $V\left(\frac{S_n}{n^{3/4}}\right) \to 0$. Since the mean is 0 and the variance converges to 0, the variable $\frac{S_n}{n^{3/4}}$ converges to 0 in probability. Thus, option 2 (B) is true.

Convergence of Sums of Squares: $\sum X_i^2$

Let $Y_i = X_i^2$. The variables $Y_i$ are also i.i.d.

First, we find the expected value of $Y_i$: $E(Y_i) = E(X_i^2)$. Using the variance formula $V(X_i) = E(X_i^2) - (E(X_i))^2$, we have: $1 = E(X_i^2) - (0)^2$ $E(X_i^2) = 1$. So, $E(Y_i) = 1$.

  • Option 4 (D): Consider $\frac{1}{n} \sum_{i=1}^n X_i^2 = \frac{1}{n} \sum_{i=1}^n Y_i$. By the Law of Large Numbers (LLN), the sample mean of $Y_i$ converges in probability to its expected value: $ \frac{1}{n} \sum_{i=1}^n Y_i \to E(Y_i) \quad \text{in probability} $ $ \frac{1}{n} \sum_{i=1}^n X_i^2 \to 1 \quad \text{in probability} $ Thus, option 4 (D) is true.
  • Option 1: This option claims $\frac{1}{n} \sum_{i=1}^n X_i^2 \to 0$ in probability, which contradicts our finding that it converges to 1. Thus, option 1 is false.

Conclusion

Based on the analysis using the Law of Large Numbers and properties of variance, the true statements are:

  • Option 2 (B): $\frac{1}{n^{3/4}} \sum_{i=1}^n X_i \to 0$ in probability.
  • Option 4 (D): $\frac{1}{n} \sum_{i=1}^n X_i^2 \to 1$ in probability.
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Important Questions from Probability (Notes)

  1. A box contains 20 black, 22 white, and 24 red socks. If a person draws socks at random one by one without looking, what is the minimum number of socks she must pick to be certain of having at least one pair of black socks?
  2. The following bus schedule is seen at a bus stop located somewhere in between town A and town B. 
    Town A-00:10, then every 20 mins 
    Town B-00:15, then every 20 mins 
    If a person arrives at this bus stop at some random time, the probability that the next bus is for town B is

  3. Some, but not all, faces of a six-faced cubical fair die are painted red (R) and the remaining green (G); and the die is thrown until red faces come up on top 4 times.
    Consider the following sequences of colours listed left to right as they appear on the top.

    A: GRRRR
    B: GRGRRR

    Which one of the following is true?
  4. In a class, 40% and 20% students passed in Mathematics and Physics, respectively, and 10% students passed in both subjects. What is the probability of a randomly selected student to have passed in Physics if the student already passed in Mathematics?
  5. A stick of length L is broken into two pieces at random. What is the average length of the smaller piece?
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