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Question

Let $\{X_i\}_{i \geq 1}$ be a sequence of i.i.d. random variables with $E(X_i) = 0$ and $V(X_i) = 1$. Which of the following are true?

Analyzing Convergence in Probability

We are given a sequence of independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.) random variables $\{X_i\}_{i \geq 1}$ with $E(X_i) = 0$ and $V(X_i) = 1$. We need to identify the statements that hold true regarding convergence in probability.

Convergence of Sums: $\sum X_i$

Let $S_n = \sum_{i=1}^n X_i$. We know $E(S_n) = n E(X_i) = n \times 0 = 0$ and $V(S_n) = n V(X_i) = n \times 1 = n$.

  • Option 3: Consider $\frac{1}{n^{1/2}} \sum_{i=1}^n X_i = \frac{S_n}{n^{1/2}}$. The variance is $V\left(\frac{S_n}{n^{1/2}}\right) = \frac{V(S_n)}{(n^{1/2})^2} = \frac{n}{n} = 1$. Since the variance is constant and non-zero, and by the Central Limit Theorem (CLT), $\frac{S_n}{n^{1/2}}$ converges in distribution to $N(0, 1)$, it does not converge to 0 in probability. Thus, option 3 is false.
  • Option 2 (B): Consider $\frac{1}{n^{3/4}} \sum_{i=1}^n X_i = \frac{S_n}{n^{3/4}}$. The variance is $V\left(\frac{S_n}{n^{3/4}}\right) = \frac{V(S_n)}{(n^{3/4})^2} = \frac{n}{n^{3/2}} = \frac{1}{n^{1/2}}$. As $n \to \infty$, the variance $V\left(\frac{S_n}{n^{3/4}}\right) \to 0$. Since the mean is 0 and the variance converges to 0, the variable $\frac{S_n}{n^{3/4}}$ converges to 0 in probability. Thus, option 2 (B) is true.

Convergence of Sums of Squares: $\sum X_i^2$

Let $Y_i = X_i^2$. The variables $Y_i$ are also i.i.d.

First, we find the expected value of $Y_i$: $E(Y_i) = E(X_i^2)$. Using the variance formula $V(X_i) = E(X_i^2) - (E(X_i))^2$, we have: $1 = E(X_i^2) - (0)^2$ $E(X_i^2) = 1$. So, $E(Y_i) = 1$.

  • Option 4 (D): Consider $\frac{1}{n} \sum_{i=1}^n X_i^2 = \frac{1}{n} \sum_{i=1}^n Y_i$. By the Law of Large Numbers (LLN), the sample mean of $Y_i$ converges in probability to its expected value: $ \frac{1}{n} \sum_{i=1}^n Y_i \to E(Y_i) \quad \text{in probability} $ $ \frac{1}{n} \sum_{i=1}^n X_i^2 \to 1 \quad \text{in probability} $ Thus, option 4 (D) is true.
  • Option 1: This option claims $\frac{1}{n} \sum_{i=1}^n X_i^2 \to 0$ in probability, which contradicts our finding that it converges to 1. Thus, option 1 is false.

Conclusion

Based on the analysis using the Law of Large Numbers and properties of variance, the true statements are:

  • Option 2 (B): $\frac{1}{n^{3/4}} \sum_{i=1}^n X_i \to 0$ in probability.
  • Option 4 (D): $\frac{1}{n} \sum_{i=1}^n X_i^2 \to 1$ in probability.
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Important Questions from Probability (Notes)

  1. In a box there are 4 white balls and 6 black balls. A ball is drawn at random. If it is white, it is put back along with two more white balls in the box. If it is black, it is put back in the box and then two black balls are thrown out of the box. Now a ball is drawn again at random from the box. Then, what is the probability that it is black?
  2. A fair coin is tossed three times. Let A be the event of getting exactly two heads and B be the event of getting at most
    two tails, then P(A$\cup$B) is:
  3. Bag A contains 3 Red and 4 Black balls while Bag B contains 5 Red and 6 Black balls. One ball is drawn at random from one of the bags and is found to be red. Then, the probability that it was drawn from Bag B is

  4. If we twice flip a balanced coin, what is the probability of getting at least one head?

    1. 1/4
    2. 2/4
    3. 1/6
    4. 3/4
  5. Suppose that the random variable X takes on the values: -1, 0, and 2 with probability $\frac{1}{8}$, $\frac{1}{2}$ and $\frac{3}{8}$. Find the expected value of X.

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