Let $X$ be a random sample of size $1$ from a Cauchy distribution with probability density function $f_\theta(x) = \frac{1}{\pi} \left(\frac{1}{1 + (x-\theta)^2}\right)$, $-\infty < x < \infty$, where $\theta \in (-\infty, \infty)$. For testing $H_0: \theta = -1$ against $H_1: \theta = 0$, the following test is suggested. Reject $H_0$ if $\frac{X}{\sqrt{1+X^2}} > C$, otherwise do not reject $H_0$. What is the value of $C$ so that the power of the test is $0.5$?
The problem asks for the value of C such that the power of the suggested test is 0.5.
The test statistic is $T(X) = \frac{X}{\sqrt{1+X^2}}$. The hypothesis is $H_0: \theta = -1$ versus $H_1: \theta = 0$. The test rejects $H_0$ if $T(X) > C$. The power of the test is defined as the probability of rejecting $H_0$ when $H_1$ is true.
Power = $P(\text{Reject } H_0 | H_1 \text{ is true}) = P\left(\frac{X}{\sqrt{1+X^2}} > C | \theta = 0\right)$.
We are given that the power should be 0.5.
Under $H_1$, we have $\theta = 0$. The random variable $X$ follows a Cauchy distribution with location parameter 0 and scale 1, i.e., $X \sim \text{Cauchy}(0, 1)$. The probability density function (PDF) is $f_0(x) = \frac{1}{\pi (1+x^2)}$.
Let $Y = \frac{X}{\sqrt{1+X^2}}$. We need to find the distribution of $Y$ when $X \sim \text{Cauchy}(0, 1)$. A convenient transformation is $X = \tan(Z)$, where $Z$ follows a uniform distribution on $(-\frac{\pi}{2}, \frac{\pi}{2})$, i.e., $Z \sim U(-\frac{\pi}{2}, \frac{\pi}{2})$.
Under this transformation, the test statistic becomes:
$Y = \frac{\tan(Z)}{\sqrt{1+\tan^2(Z)}} = \frac{\tan(Z)}{\sec(Z)} = \sin(Z)$.
Since $Z \sim U(-\frac{\pi}{2}, \frac{\pi}{2})$, its PDF is $f_Z(z) = \frac{1}{\pi}$ for $z \in (-\frac{\pi}{2}, \frac{\pi}{2})$. The range of $Y = \sin(Z)$ is $(-1, 1)$.
The PDF of $Y$ can be found using the transformation $Y = \sin(Z)$. The CDF of $Y$ is $F_Y(y) = P(Y \le y) = P(\sin(Z) \le y)$. For $y \in (-1, 1)$, $P(\sin(Z) \le y) = P(Z \le \arcsin(y)) = \int_{-\pi/2}^{\arcsin(y)} \frac{1}{\pi} dz = \frac{1}{\pi} (\arcsin(y) + \frac{\pi}{2})$.
The PDF of $Y$ is the derivative of the CDF:
$f_Y(y) = \frac{d}{dy} F_Y(y) = \frac{1}{\pi} \frac{1}{\sqrt{1-y^2}}$, for $y \in (-1, 1)$.
We need to find $C$ such that $P(Y > C) = 0.5$. Using the PDF of $Y$:
$ P(Y > C) = \int_C^1 f_Y(y) dy = \int_C^1 \frac{1}{\pi \sqrt{1-y^2}} dy $
Set this equal to 0.5:
$ \int_C^1 \frac{1}{\pi \sqrt{1-y^2}} dy = 0.5 $
Evaluate the integral:
$ \frac{1}{\pi} [\arcsin(y)]_C^1 = 0.5 $
$ \frac{1}{\pi} (\arcsin(1) - \arcsin(C)) = 0.5 $
$ \frac{1}{\pi} \left(\frac{\pi}{2} - \arcsin(C)\right) = 0.5 $
Multiply both sides by $\pi$:
$ \frac{\pi}{2} - \arcsin(C) = \frac{\pi}{2} $
Solve for $\arcsin(C)$:
$ \arcsin(C) = 0 $
Therefore, $C = \sin(0) = 0$.
The PDF $f_Y(y) = \frac{1}{\pi \sqrt{1-y^2}}$ is symmetric about $y=0$. Since the total probability $\int_{-1}^1 f_Y(y) dy = 1$, the median of the distribution is 0.
The condition for the power to be 0.5 is $P(Y > C) = 0.5$. Since 0 is the median, $P(Y > 0) = 0.5$. Therefore, $C=0$.
Ten balls are put in 6 slots at random. Then the expected total number of balls in the two extreme slots is
Suppose $A, B, C$ are events in a common probability space with
$P(A) = 0.2, \ P(B) = 0.2, \ P(C) = 0.3$, $P(A \cap B) = 0.1, \ P(A \cap C) = 0.1, \ P(B \cap C) = 0.1$.
Which of the following are possible values of $P(A \cup B \cup C)$?