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Question

Ten balls are put in 6 slots at random. Then the expected total number of balls in the two extreme slots is

The correct answer is

$10/3$.

Problem Analysis: We need to find the expected total number of balls in the two extreme slots (slot 1 and slot 6) when 10 balls are randomly distributed among 6 slots.

Expected Value Calculation Using Linearity

We can solve this using the linearity of expectation. Let $X$ be the total number of balls in the two extreme slots. We can define indicator random variables for each ball.

  1. Define Indicator Variables: Let $B_j$ be an indicator variable for the $j$-th ball ($j = 1, 2, ..., 10$).
    • $B_j = 1$ if the $j$-th ball lands in either slot 1 or slot 6.
    • $B_j = 0$ otherwise.
  2. Calculate Probability for One Ball: For any single ball, the probability of landing in any specific slot is $\frac{1}{6}$, as there are 6 slots and the distribution is random. The probability of landing in an extreme slot (slot 1 or slot 6) is: $P(B_j = 1) = P(\text{ball } j \text{ in slot 1}) + P(\text{ball } j \text{ in slot 6})$ $P(B_j = 1) = \frac{1}{6} + \frac{1}{6} = \frac{2}{6} = \frac{1}{3}$
  3. Calculate Expected Value of Indicator Variable: The expected value of an indicator variable is the probability of the event it indicates: $E[B_j] = 1 \times P(B_j = 1) + 0 \times P(B_j = 0) = P(B_j = 1) = \frac{1}{3}$
  4. Apply Linearity of Expectation: The total number of balls in the extreme slots is the sum of the indicator variables for all 10 balls: $X = \sum_{j=1}^{10} B_j$. The expected total number of balls is the sum of the expected values of the indicator variables: $E[X] = E\left[\sum_{j=1}^{10} B_j\right] = \sum_{j=1}^{10} E[B_j]$
  5. Final Calculation: Substituting the expected value of each indicator variable: $E[X] = \sum_{j=1}^{10} \frac{1}{3} = 10 \times \frac{1}{3} = \frac{10}{3}$

Conclusion

The expected total number of balls in the two extreme slots is $\frac{10}{3}$.

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Important Questions from Discrete Probability

  1. Let $X$ be a Binomial$(n, p)$ random variable, where $n \in \{5,6\}$ and $p\in \{\frac{1}{4}, \frac{3}{4}\}$. If $X = 3$ is observed, then the maximum likelihood estimate of $(n, p)$ is
  2. Suppose two fair dice are thrown independently at random. Let $X$ and $Y$ be the numbers on the upper face of the first die and that of the second die, respectively. Then which of the following statements are true?
  3. A box contains 40 numbered red balls and 60 numbered black balls. From the box, balls are drawn one by one at random without replacement till all the balls are drawn. The probability that the last ball drawn is black equals
  4. Consider the problem of testing $H_0 : \theta = 1$ vs $H_1 : \theta = \frac{1}{2}$ where $\theta$ is the mean of a Poisson random variable. Let $X$ and $Y$ be a random sample from Poisson ($\theta$) distribution. Consider the following test procedure: 

    Reject $H_0$ if either $X = 0$ or $(X = 1 \text{ and } X + Y \leq 2)$; otherwise accept $H_0$. 

    Which of the following are true?

  5. In a football league, the goals scored by home teams over 380 matches have the following frequency distribution.

    Number of goals012345
    Frequency921219150197

    The average goals scored by home teams is 1.49. We want to test $H_0$: Goal distribution is Poisson. Based on observations the value of the $\chi^2$-statistic for goodness of fit is 1.27. Given $\chi^2_{0.05, 6} = 1.64, \chi^2_{0.05, 5} = 1.15, \chi^2_{0.95, 6} = 12.59$ and $\chi^2_{0.95, 5} = 11.07$, which of the following are true?

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