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Question

Suppose $\begin{pmatrix} X \\ Y \end{pmatrix}$ is a random vector such that the marginal distribution of $X$ and the marginal distribution of $Y$ are the same and each is normally distributed with mean $0$ and variance $1$. Then, which of the following conditions imply independence of $X$ and $Y$?

Understanding Independence Conditions

We are given two random variables, $X$ and $Y$. Their marginal distributions are identical standard normal distributions, meaning $X \sim N(0, 1)$ and $Y \sim N(0, 1)$. The question asks which conditions guarantee that $X$ and $Y$ are independent.

Analysis of Option 1: Zero Covariance

The condition is $Cov(X, Y) = 0$.

  • Zero covariance implies independence only if the random variables are known to be jointly normally distributed.
  • The problem states $X$ and $Y$ have normal marginal distributions, but not necessarily a joint normal distribution.
  • Counterexample: Let $X \sim N(0, 1)$ and $Y = XZ$, where $Z$ is a standard normal variable independent of $X$. Then $Y$ also has a marginal distribution $N(0, 1)$. We have $Cov(X, Y) = E[X(XZ)] - E[X]E[XZ] = E[X^2 Z] - 0 = E[X^2]E[Z] = 1 \times 0 = 0$. However, $X$ and $Y$ are dependent since $Y$ is a function of $X$.
  • Therefore, $Cov(X, Y) = 0$ is not sufficient on its own.

Analysis of Option 2: Linear Combination Normality

The condition is that $aX + bY$ is normally distributed with mean $0$ and variance $a^2 + b^2$ for all real numbers $a$ and $b$.

  • This condition implies that the random vector $\begin{pmatrix} X \\ Y \end{pmatrix}$ follows a bivariate normal distribution.
  • Consider the specific case where $a=1$ and $b=1$. Then $X+Y \sim N(0, 1^2 + 1^2) = N(0, 2)$.
  • The variance of $X+Y$ is calculated as $Var(X+Y) = Var(X) + Var(Y) + 2Cov(X, Y)$. Given $Var(X)=1$ and $Var(Y)=1$, we have $Var(X+Y) = 1 + 1 + 2Cov(X, Y) = 2 + 2Cov(X, Y)$.
  • Since $Var(X+Y)$ must equal $2$ (from the condition), we have $2 = 2 + 2Cov(X, Y)$, which implies $Cov(X, Y) = 0$.
  • Because $\begin{pmatrix} X \\ Y \end{pmatrix}$ is bivariate normal and $Cov(X, Y) = 0$, $X$ and $Y$ are independent.
  • Therefore, this condition implies independence.

Analysis of Option 3: Joint Probability Condition

The condition is $P(X \le 0, Y \le 0) = 1/4$.

  • Since $X \sim N(0, 1)$, $P(X \le 0) = 1/2$. Similarly, $P(Y \le 0) = 1/2$.
  • If $X$ and $Y$ were independent, then $P(X \le 0, Y \le 0) = P(X \le 0)P(Y \le 0) = (1/2)(1/2) = 1/4$. This shows the condition is necessary for independence.
  • However, it is not sufficient. Consider $X \sim N(0, 1)$ and $Y = UX$, where $U$ is a random variable independent of $X$ such that $P(U=1) = 1/2$ and $P(U=-1) = 1/2$. This construction yields $Y \sim N(0, 1)$ marginally, $P(X \le 0, Y \le 0) = 1/4$, but $X$ and $Y$ are dependent.
  • Therefore, this condition does not guarantee independence.

Analysis of Option 4: Characteristic Function Property

The condition is $E[e^{itX + isY}] = E[e^{itX}] E[e^{isY}]$ for all real numbers $s$ and $t$.

  • $E[e^{itX + isY}]$ is the joint characteristic function of $(X, Y)$, denoted $\phi_{X,Y}(t, s)$.
  • $E[e^{itX}]$ and $E[e^{isY}]$ are the marginal characteristic functions of $X$ and $Y$, denoted $\phi_X(t)$ and $\phi_Y(s)$.
  • The condition $\phi_{X,Y}(t, s) = \phi_X(t) \phi_Y(s)$ is the definition of independence for random variables $X$ and $Y$.
  • Therefore, this condition implies independence.

Conclusion

The conditions that imply independence between $X$ and $Y$ are Option 2 and Option 4.

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Important Questions from Multivariate Normal Distribution

  1. Suppose $(X_1, X_2)$ follows a bivariate normal distribution with $E(X_1) = E(X_2) = 0$, $V(X_1) = V(X_2) = 2$ and $Cov(X_1, X_2) = -1$. If $\Phi(x) = \frac{1}{\sqrt{2\pi}} \int_{-\infty}^x e^{-y^2/2} dy$, then $P[X_1 - X_2 > 6]$ is equal to
  2. Let $Y = (Y_1, \dots, Y_n)'$ have the multivariate normal distribution $N_n(0, I)$. Which of the following is the covariance matrix of the conditional distribution of $Y$ given $$\sum_{i=1}^n Y_i ?$$ ($1$ denotes the $n \times 1$ vector with all elements 1.)

  3. Let $\Sigma = ((\sigma_{ij}))$ be an $n \times n$ symmetric and positive definite matrix such that $\sigma_{ij} \neq 0$ for all $i, j$. Which of the following matrices will always be the covariance matrix of a multivariate normal random vector?

  4. Suppose $X_1 \sim N_{p_1}(0, \Sigma_1), \ X_2 \sim N_{p_2}(0, \Sigma_2)$, where $X_1$ and $X_2$ are independently distributed. If $p_1 > p_2$ and $\Sigma_1, \Sigma_2$ are positive definite then which of the following statements is necessarily true?
  5. Let $X_1 \sim N(0, 1)$ and let
    $$X_2 = \begin{cases} -X_1, & -2 \le X_1 \le 2 \\ X_1, & \text{otherwise}. \end{cases}$$
    Then identify the correct statement.
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