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Question

Let $X = \cos \theta$ and $Y = \sin \theta$, where $\theta$ is a random variable uniformly distributed over $(0, 2\pi)$. Which of the following options is/are CORRECT?

Hint: $\text{cov}(X, Y) = E[(X - E(X)) (Y - E(Y))]$

The correct answer is
$X$ and $Y$ are dependent and uncorrelated

Calculating Expected Values

Given $X = \cos \theta$ and $Y = \sin \theta$, where $\theta$ is uniformly distributed over $(0, 2\pi)$. The probability density function (PDF) of $\theta$ is $f(\theta) = \frac{1}{2\pi}$ for $0 < \theta < 2\pi$.

  • $E(X) = E(\cos \theta) = \int_{0}^{2\pi} \cos \theta \cdot \frac{1}{2\pi} d\theta = \frac{1}{2\pi} [\sin \theta]_{0}^{2\pi} = 0$.
  • $E(Y) = E(\sin \theta) = \int_{0}^{2\pi} \sin \theta \cdot \frac{1}{2\pi} d\theta = \frac{1}{2\pi} [-\cos \theta]_{0}^{2\pi} = 0$.

Determining Correlation using Covariance

The hint provides the formula for covariance: $\text{cov}(X, Y) = E[(X - E(X)) (Y - E(Y))]$. This simplifies to $\text{cov}(X, Y) = E(XY) - E(X)E(Y)$.

  • Since $E(X) = 0$ and $E(Y) = 0$, the covariance simplifies to $\text{cov}(X, Y) = E(XY)$.
  • Calculate $E(XY)$: $XY = \cos \theta \sin \theta$. Using the double angle identity, $XY = \frac{1}{2} \sin(2\theta)$.
  • $E(XY) = E\left(\frac{1}{2} \sin(2\theta)\right) = \int_{0}^{2\pi} \frac{1}{2} \sin(2\theta) \cdot \frac{1}{2\pi} d\theta$
  • $E(XY) = \frac{1}{4\pi} \int_{0}^{2\pi} \sin(2\theta) d\theta = \frac{1}{4\pi} \left[-\frac{1}{2} \cos(2\theta)\right]_{0}^{2\pi} = \frac{1}{4\pi} \left(-\frac{1}{2} \cos(4\pi) - (-\frac{1}{2} \cos(0))\right) = \frac{1}{4\pi} \left(-\frac{1}{2} - (-\frac{1}{2})\right) = 0$.
  • Therefore, $\text{cov}(X, Y) = 0$. This means $X$ and $Y$ are uncorrelated.

Assessing Independence

Two random variables are independent if the occurrence of one does not affect the probability of the other.

  • Consider the fundamental trigonometric identity: $X^2 + Y^2 = (\cos \theta)^2 + (\sin \theta)^2 = 1$.
  • This equation shows a direct functional relationship between $X$ and $Y$. If the value of $X$ is known, the possible values for $Y$ are restricted (e.g., if $X=1$, $Y$ must be $0$).
  • Because a functional relationship exists, $X$ and $Y$ cannot be independent.

Conclusion

The analysis shows that:

  • $X$ and $Y$ are uncorrelated because their covariance is $0$.
  • $X$ and $Y$ are dependent due to the relationship $X^2 + Y^2 = 1$.

Therefore, the correct option is that $X$ and $Y$ are dependent and uncorrelated.

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Important Questions from Correlation Analysis

  1. Let $X$ be a random variable that follows $Uniform(-1, 1)$ distribution. The conditional distribution of the random variable $Y$ given $X = x$ is the $Uniform(x^2 - 0.1, x^2 + 0.1)$ distribution.

    The value of $correlation(X, Y)$ is __________ . (Answer in integer)
  2. In the variance-covariance matrix given below, which one of the following pairs of elements has the highest correlation?

    $$ \begin{bmatrix} & P & Q & R & S \\ P & 0 & 0 & 0 & 0 \\ Q & 0 & 3.73 & 1.85 & 3.23 \\ R & 0 & 1.85 & 0.93 & 1.61 \\ S & 0 & 3.23 & 1.61 & 2.79 \end{bmatrix} $$
  3. Consider 62 pair of observations $(x_i, y_i)$, i = 1, …., 62, obtained from the distribution of $(X, Y)$. The Pearson correlation coefficient ($R$) of these observations is 0.27.

    Which one of the following statements is CORRECT for a significance level $\alpha = 0.05$ and $t_{0.025,60} = 2.0$?

    Hint: Test statistic $t = \frac{R\sqrt{n - 2}}{\sqrt{1 - R^2}}$
  4. The multiple correlation ranges between :
  5. Arrange the following correlation coefficients in descending order in terms of their strength of relationship, as defined by common variance :
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