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Question

In any given year, the probability of an earthquake greater than Magnitude 6 occurring in the Garhwal Himalayas is 0.04. The average time between successive occurrences of such earthquakes is __________ years.

Earthquake Average Time Calculation

The problem asks for the average time between successive earthquakes greater than Magnitude 6 in the Garhwal Himalayas, given the annual probability.

Given Probability

  • Probability ($P$) of an earthquake > Magnitude 6 occurring in a year = 0.04

Calculating Average Time Between Events

For events that occur randomly over time at a constant average rate (like earthquakes in this model), the average time between successive events is the reciprocal of the probability (or rate) per unit time.

The formula is:

Average Time = $ \frac{1}{P} $

Calculation

Substitute the given probability into the formula:

Average Time = $ \frac{1}{0.04} $

Average Time = $ \frac{1}{\frac{4}{100}} $

Average Time = $ \frac{100}{4} $

Average Time = 25 years

Conclusion

The average time between successive occurrences of earthquakes greater than Magnitude 6 in the Garhwal Himalayas is 25 years.

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  3. The probability of having 53 Tuesdays in an ordinary year is:

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