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Question

In any given year, the probability of an earthquake greater than Magnitude 6 occurring in the Garhwal Himalayas is 0.04. The average time between successive occurrences of such earthquakes is __________ years.

Earthquake Average Time Calculation

The problem asks for the average time between successive earthquakes greater than Magnitude 6 in the Garhwal Himalayas, given the annual probability.

Given Probability

  • Probability ($P$) of an earthquake > Magnitude 6 occurring in a year = 0.04

Calculating Average Time Between Events

For events that occur randomly over time at a constant average rate (like earthquakes in this model), the average time between successive events is the reciprocal of the probability (or rate) per unit time.

The formula is:

Average Time = $ \frac{1}{P} $

Calculation

Substitute the given probability into the formula:

Average Time = $ \frac{1}{0.04} $

Average Time = $ \frac{1}{\frac{4}{100}} $

Average Time = $ \frac{100}{4} $

Average Time = 25 years

Conclusion

The average time between successive occurrences of earthquakes greater than Magnitude 6 in the Garhwal Himalayas is 25 years.

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Important Questions from Probability

  1. Three dice are thrown. What is the probability of getting a sum which is a perfect square?

  2. Two distinct natural numbers from 1 to 9 are picked at random. What is the probability that their product has 1 in its unit place?

  3. Two dice are thrown. What is the probability that difference of numbers on them is 2 or 3 ?

  4. Suppose that there is a chance for a newly constructed building to collapse, whether the design is faulty or not. The chance that the design is faulty is 10%. The chance that the building collapses is 95% if the design is faulty, otherwise it is 45%. If it is seen that the building has collapsed, then what is the probability that it is due to faulty design?

  5. What is the probability that all three boys sit together?

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