To estimate the rainfall at station A when it was non-operational, we use the data from the other operational stations (B, C, D, E). The method assumes that the ratio of recorded rainfall to average annual rainfall is consistent across the stations in the basin for that particular year.
Sum the average annual rainfall for stations B, C, D, and E:
$ R_{B-E} = R_B + R_C + R_D + R_E $
$ R_{B-E} = 810 \text{ mm} + 675 \text{ mm} + 940 \text{ mm} + 780 \text{ mm} = 3205 \text{ mm} $
Sum the rainfall recorded by stations B, C, D, and E in the particular year:
$ r_{B-E} = r_B + r_C + r_D + r_E $
$ r_{B-E} = 890 \text{ mm} + 725 \text{ mm} + 980 \text{ mm} + 850 \text{ mm} = 3445 \text{ mm} $
Calculate the ratio of the total recorded rainfall to the total average rainfall for these stations:
$ \text{Ratio} = \frac{r_{B-E}}{R_{B-E}} = \frac{3445 \text{ mm}}{3205 \text{ mm}} $
$ \text{Ratio} \approx 1.07488 $
Apply this ratio to the average annual rainfall of station A ($R_A = 1020$ mm) to estimate its rainfall ($r_A$) for that year:
$ r_A = R_A \times \text{Ratio} $
$ r_A = 1020 \text{ mm} \times \frac{3445}{3205} $
$ r_A = 1020 \text{ mm} \times \frac{689}{641} \approx 1096.38 \text{ mm} $
The calculated value is approximately 1096.38 mm. The closest option provided is 1098 mm.
A soil conservation structure has an expected life of 10 years and is designed for a flood magnitude of return period 50 years. The risk of this hydrologic design in percentage (rounded off to two decimal places) is ____________.