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Question

If \(P\left( B \right) = \frac{3}{4},\;P\left( {A \cap B \cap \overline{C}} \right) = \frac{1}{3}\) and \(P\;\left( {\overline{A}\; \cap \;B\; \cap \;\overline{C}} \right) = \frac{1}{3},\)  then what is P (B ∩ C) equal to?

This question was previously asked in
NDA I 2017 GAT Previous Year Paper (23-Apr-2017)
The correct answer is \(\frac{1}{{12}}\)

Understanding the Probability Problem

The question asks us to find the probability of the intersection of events B and C, denoted as \(P(B \cap C)\). We are given the probabilities of event B, and the probabilities of specific intersections involving events A, B, and the complement of C (\(\overline{C}\)).

Given Probabilities

  • \(P\left( B \right) = \frac{3}{4}\)
  • \(P\left( {A \cap B \cap \overline{C}} \right) = \frac{1}{3}\)
  • \(P\;\left( {\overline{A}\; \cap \;B\; \cap \;\overline{C}} \right) = \frac{1}{3}\)

Analyzing the Events and Their Relationships

Let's look at the events \(A \cap B \cap \overline{C}\) and \(\overline{A} \cap B \cap \overline{C}\). Both of these events are subsets of \(B \cap \overline{C}\). The key observation is that these two events are mutually exclusive because they involve the occurrence of \(A\) and the non-occurrence of \(A\) (\(\overline{A}\)) respectively, while the other conditions (B and \(\overline{C}\)) are the same for both.

The union of these two mutually exclusive events covers all possibilities where events B and \(\overline{C}\) occur, partitioned by whether A occurs or not. Therefore, the event \(B \cap \overline{C}\) can be expressed as the union of \(A \cap B \cap \overline{C}\) and \(\overline{A} \cap B \cap \overline{C}\).

Mathematically, this is written as:

\(B \cap \overline{C} = (A \cap B \cap \overline{C}) \cup (\overline{A} \cap B \cap \overline{C})\)

Since they are mutually exclusive, the probability of their union is the sum of their individual probabilities:

\(P(B \cap \overline{C}) = P(A \cap B \cap \overline{C}) + P(\overline{A} \cap B \cap \overline{C})\)

Calculating \(P(B \cap \overline{C})\)

Using the given probabilities, we can calculate \(P(B \cap \overline{C})\):

\(P(B \cap \overline{C}) = \frac{1}{3} + \frac{1}{3}\)

\(P(B \cap \overline{C}) = \frac{2}{3}\)

Relating \(P(B)\), \(P(B \cap C)\), and \(P(B \cap \overline{C})\)

Now, consider event B. Event B can be partitioned into two mutually exclusive events based on whether C occurs or not. These two events are \(B \cap C\) (B and C occur) and \(B \cap \overline{C}\) (B occurs and C does not occur).

So, event B is the union of these two mutually exclusive events:

\(B = (B \cap C) \cup (B \cap \overline{C})\)

Since they are mutually exclusive, the probability of B is the sum of the probabilities of these two events:

\(P(B) = P(B \cap C) + P(B \cap \overline{C})\)

Solving for \(P(B \cap C)\)

We are given \(P(B) = \frac{3}{4}\) and we calculated \(P(B \cap \overline{C}) = \frac{2}{3}\). We can substitute these values into the equation:

\(\frac{3}{4} = P(B \cap C) + \frac{2}{3}\)

To find \(P(B \cap C)\), we rearrange the equation:

\(P(B \cap C) = \frac{3}{4} - \frac{2}{3}\)

To subtract the fractions, we find a common denominator, which is 12:

\(P(B \cap C) = \frac{3 \times 3}{4 \times 3} - \frac{2 \times 4}{3 \times 4}\)

\(P(B \cap C) = \frac{9}{12} - \frac{8}{12}\)

\(P(B \cap C) = \frac{9 - 8}{12}\)

\(P(B \cap C) = \frac{1}{12}\)

Conclusion

Based on the given probabilities and the properties of mutually exclusive events and unions, the probability of \(B \cap C\) is \(\frac{1}{12}\).

Revision Table: Key Probability Concepts

Concept Description Formula Example
Union of Events (E ∪ F) Event where E occurs, or F occurs, or both occur. \(P(E \cup F) = P(E) + P(F) - P(E \cap F)\)
Intersection of Events (E ∩ F) Event where both E and F occur. \(P(E \cap F)\)
Complement of an Event (\(\overline{E}\)) Event where E does not occur. \(P(\overline{E}) = 1 - P(E)\)
Mutually Exclusive Events Events that cannot occur at the same time. E ∩ F = ∅. \(P(E \cup F) = P(E) + P(F)\)
Partition of an Event Dividing an event into smaller, non-overlapping (mutually exclusive) events whose union is the original event. \(P(E) = P(E \cap F) + P(E \cap \overline{F})\)

Additional Information: Set Theory and Probability

Probability theory often uses concepts from set theory to describe events and their relationships. Events are treated as sets, and sample space is the universal set. The operations on events (union, intersection, complement) correspond directly to set operations.

  • The union of events E and F (\(E \cup F\)) corresponds to the union of sets.
  • The intersection of events E and F (\(E \cap F\)) corresponds to the intersection of sets.
  • The complement of event E (\(\overline{E}\)) corresponds to the complement of set E relative to the sample space.
  • Mutually exclusive events correspond to disjoint sets (their intersection is the empty set).

Understanding these set theory connections helps visualize and solve probability problems, especially those involving multiple events like in this question where we dealt with combinations of A, B, and C.

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Similar Questions

  1. A machine has three parts, A, B and C, whose chances of being defective are 0.02, 0.10 and 0.05 respectively. The machine stops working if any one of the parts becomes defective. What is the probability that the machine will not stop working?

  2. If A and B are two events such that 2P(A) = 3P(B), where 0 < P(A) < P(B) < 1, then which one of the following is correct?

  3. A box has ten chits numbered 0, 1, 2, 3, ……., 9. First, one chit is drawn at random and kept aside. From the remaining, a second chit is drawn at random. What is the probability that the second chit drawn is “9”?

  4. Two distinct natural numbers from 1 to 9 are picked at random. What is the probability that their product has 1 in its unit place?

  5. Three dice are thrown. What is the probability of getting a sum which is a perfect square?

  6. What is the probability that all three boys sit together?

  7. What is the probability that boys and girls sit alternatively?

  8. What is the probability that P and Q take the two end positions?

  9. What is the probability that no two girls sit together?

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Important Questions from Probability

  1. If one event is unaffected by the outcome of another event, the two events are said to be:
    1. Dependent
    2. Independent
    3. Mutually exclusive
    4. Mutually inclusive
  2. Let $M$ be a randomly chosen non-empty subset of $S = \{1, 2, 3, \dots, 2026\}$.

    Which of the following is the probability that the product of all the elements of $M$ is even?
  3. A fair coin is tossed 6 times. The probability of getting at least 5 heads is _________________. (rounded off to two decimal places)
  4. Consider a random experiment of rolling a fair die. The probability of getting an odd number or a number less than 4 is ______ (Rounded off to two decimal places).
  5. In a null hypothesis significance test, the significance level $\alpha$ was set to 0.01. For which one or more of the following $p$ values would the null hypothesis be rejected?
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