Understanding UNEP Emissions Gap Report 2024 Findings

The question asks about the projected global temperature increase by the end of the century, based on the policies currently in place, as detailed in the UNEP Emissions Gap Report 2024.

Projected Temperature Rise Under Current Policies

According to the findings reported in the UNEP Emissions Gap Report 2024, if countries continue with their current policies regarding emissions:

• The projected global temperature rise by the end of the century is estimated to be 3.1%.

Contextualizing the Projection

This projection highlights the gap between the emission reduction targets countries have set and the actions they are currently taking. The report emphasizes that current policies are insufficient to meet the goals set by international agreements like the Paris Agreement, which aims to limit global warming to well below 2, preferably to 1.5 degrees Celsius, compared to pre-industrial levels.

Analyzing the Options

Let's look at the options provided:

• 3.1 %: This aligns with the data presented in the UNEP Emissions Gap Report 2024 for projected temperature rise under current policies.
• 4.6 %: This value is higher than the reported projection for current policies.
• 3.8 %: This value is higher than the reported projection for current policies.
• 4.8 %: This value is significantly higher than the reported projection for current policies.

Therefore, the correct projection based on the report is 3.1%.