Speciation, the process by which new species arise, is influenced by various evolutionary forces. Small, isolated populations tend to speciate more rapidly than large ones primarily because evolutionary mechanisms have a more pronounced effect.
Genetic drift involves random changes in allele frequencies from one generation to the next. Its influence is significantly stronger in smaller populations.
This heightened effect of genetic drift in small populations can accelerate genetic divergence, potentially leading to reproductive isolation and ultimately, speciation.
Therefore, the enhanced impact of genetic drift makes small populations more likely to evolve into distinct species compared to large, stable populations.
In a population of birds on an island, the average beak size reduced over one generation. A researcher estimated the association between beak size and relative fitness, shown in the graph. The estimated slope was –0.05 with a 95% confidence interval of -0.15 to 0.09.

Which one of the following evolutionary processes acting on beak size is the most likely reason for the observed reduction in beak size?