All Exams Test series for 1 year @ ₹349 only
Question

A fair coin is tossed till a head appears for the first time. The probability that the number of required tosses is odd, is

The correct answer is
$2/3$

Problem Analysis: Probability of Odd Tosses for First Head

The question asks for the probability that the number of tosses required to get the first head from a fair coin is an odd number (1, 3, 5, ...).

  • A fair coin implies the probability of getting a head (H) is $p = 1/2$, and the probability of getting a tail (T) is $q = 1 - p = 1/2$.
  • This scenario follows a geometric distribution, where the probability of the first success (head) occurring on the $k$-th trial is $P(X=k) = q^{k-1}p$.

Calculating the Probability

Let $P_{odd}$ be the probability that the number of tosses required is odd.

Consider the outcome of the first toss:

  • Case 1: First toss is a Head (H). The probability of this is $p = 1/2$. The number of tosses is 1, which is odd. So, this case contributes $p$ to $P_{odd}$.
  • Case 2: First toss is a Tail (T). The probability of this is $q = 1/2$. We have used one toss, and now we need the *remaining* tosses to result in the first head appearing on an *even* number of additional tosses. This means the total number of tosses will be $1 + (\text{even number})$, which is odd. The process essentially restarts after the first tail, but we require the subsequent process to finish in an even number of steps for the total to be odd. The probability of needing an even number of additional tosses is $1 - P_{odd}$. This case contributes $q \times (1 - P_{odd})$ to $P_{odd}$.

Combining these cases:

$ P_{odd} = P(\text{First toss H}) \times 1 + P(\text{First toss T}) \times P(\text{Remaining tosses needed are even}) $ $ P_{odd} = p \times 1 + q \times (1 - P_{odd}) $

Substitute the values $p = 1/2$ and $q = 1/2$:

$ P_{odd} = \frac{1}{2} + \frac{1}{2} \times (1 - P_{odd}) $

Now, solve for $P_{odd}$:

$ P_{odd} = \frac{1}{2} + \frac{1}{2} - \frac{1}{2} P_{odd} $ $ P_{odd} = 1 - \frac{1}{2} P_{odd} $ $ P_{odd} + \frac{1}{2} P_{odd} = 1 $ $ \frac{3}{2} P_{odd} = 1 $ $ P_{odd} = \frac{1}{3/2} $ $ P_{odd} = \frac{2}{3} $

Conclusion

The probability that the number of required tosses is odd is $2/3$. This corresponds to Option C.

Was this answer helpful?

Important Questions from Basics of Probability

  1. If the data are skewed, which option of central tendency measure is the most unreliable indicator?

  2. In a negatively skewed distribution

  3. If the distribution is negatively skewed, then the:

  4. The first four moments about the mean of distribution are 0, μ 2, 0.7 and 18.75. If the distribution is mesokurtic, the value of μ 2, is

  5. If Mean > Median > Mode, the distribution is:

Need Expert Advice?

Start Your Preparation with Prepp Mobile App

Download the app from Google Play & App Store
Download the app from Google Play & App Store
Prepp Mobile App