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Question

X is a random variable with a uniform probability density function in the interval [-2, 10]. For Y = 2X – 6, the conditional probability P(Y ≤ 7 | X ≥ 5) (rounded off to three decimal places) is

The area under the curve must be 1, i.e.

(10 + 2) × a = 1

\(a=\frac{1}{12}\)

\({{f}_{x}}\left( x \right)=\left\{ \begin{matrix} \frac{1}{12}~~~-2\le x\le 10 \\ 0~~~~otherwise \\ \end{matrix} \right\}\)

Now, y = 2x – 6

∴ fy(y) can be defined as:

\({{f}_{y}}\left( y \right)=\left\{ \begin{matrix} ~~~\frac{1}{24}~~~-10\le x\le 14 \\ 0~~~~~~~~otherwise \\ \end{matrix} \right.\)

If x ≥ 5, then y ≥ 4

So, P(y ≤ 7|x ≥ 5) = P(y ≤ 7|y ≥ 4)

\(P\left( y\le 7\text{ }\!\!|\!\!\text{ }x\ge 5 \right)=\frac{P\left( 4\le y\le 7 \right)}{P\left( 4\le y\le 14 \right)}\)

\(P\left( y\le 7\text{ }\!\!|\!\!\text{ }x\ge 5 \right)=\frac{P\left( 4\le y\le 7 \right)}{P\left( 4\le y\le 14 \right)}\)

\(=\frac{3/24}{10/24} \)

= \(\frac{3}{10}\)

=0.3

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