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Question

The Wholesale Price Inflation has increased in India during 2021-2022 due to which of the following factors?

1. Sharp increase in international prices of crude oil

2. Decrease in economic activity post - Covid

3. Disruption of global supply chain

4. High freight cost

Select the correct answer using the code given. below:

This question was previously asked in
CDS I 2023 English Previous Year Paper (16-April-2023)
The correct answer is

1, 3 and 4

Understanding Wholesale Price Inflation in India (2021-2022)

Wholesale Price Inflation (WPI) measures the average change in the prices of commodities at the wholesale level. In India, WPI is a key inflation indicator. The period of 2021-2022 saw a significant increase in WPI. Let's analyze the factors provided to understand why this happened.

Analyzing Factors for Increased WPI

We need to evaluate each factor to determine its impact on WPI during 2021-2022.

  1. Sharp increase in international prices of crude oil: Crude oil is a major input for many industries and the primary fuel for transportation. When international crude oil prices rise sharply, it directly increases the cost of production and transportation for businesses. These higher costs are often passed on to wholesalers, leading to an increase in wholesale prices. The period of 2021-2022 did witness a significant rise in global crude oil prices, contributing substantially to WPI inflation in India.
  2. Decrease in economic activity post - Covid: A decrease in economic activity typically leads to lower demand for goods and services. Lower demand usually puts downward pressure on prices, potentially leading to lower inflation or even deflation. However, the 2021-2022 period was largely one of economic recovery post-initial COVID-19 waves. While there were challenges, overall economic activity was picking up. Moreover, a decrease in economic activity is generally *not* a cause for *increased* inflation. Therefore, this factor is unlikely to be a reason for the *increase* in WPI during this period.
  3. Disruption of global supply chain: The COVID-19 pandemic and related restrictions, as well as geopolitical events, caused widespread disruptions in global supply chains during 2021-2022. This led to shortages of raw materials, components, and finished goods. Supply disruptions make it harder and more expensive for businesses to obtain the inputs they need, pushing up production costs and leading to higher wholesale prices.
  4. High freight cost: Global supply chain disruptions, increased demand for shipping as economic activity resumed, and higher fuel prices all contributed to significantly elevated freight costs during 2021-2022. Higher costs for transporting goods, whether raw materials or finished products, directly increase the cost of goods at the wholesale level, thereby contributing to WPI inflation.

Identifying Contributing Factors to WPI Increase

Based on the analysis:

  • Factor 1 (Sharp increase in international prices of crude oil) contributed to the WPI increase.
  • Factor 2 (Decrease in economic activity post - Covid) did not contribute to the WPI increase; increased economic activity during recovery, coupled with supply issues, were more relevant.
  • Factor 3 (Disruption of global supply chain) contributed to the WPI increase.
  • Factor 4 (High freight cost) contributed to the WPI increase.

Therefore, the factors that contributed to the increase in Wholesale Price Inflation in India during 2021-2022 are 1, 3, and 4.

Conclusion

The combination of external factors like soaring crude oil prices, global supply chain disruptions, and high freight costs significantly impacted input costs and transportation expenses for businesses in India during 2021-2022, driving up the Wholesale Price Index.

Factor Impact on WPI (2021-2022) Reasoning
1. Increase in crude oil prices Increased WPI Higher input and transport costs
2. Decrease in economic activity Did not increase WPI (activity was recovering, usually lowers prices) Against general economic principles for inflation; period was recovery phase
3. Disruption of global supply chain Increased WPI Shortages, delays, higher input costs
4. High freight cost Increased WPI Higher transportation costs for goods

Revision Table: Key WPI Inflation Drivers

Driver Type Examples Relevant to 2021-2022
Cost-Push Factors High crude oil prices, supply chain disruptions, high freight costs, increased raw material prices
Demand-Pull Factors Economic recovery leading to increased demand (less significant than cost-push in this period's WPI surge)

Additional Information on Inflation and WPI

What is WPI?

The Wholesale Price Index (WPI) tracks price changes of goods before they are sold to consumers. It includes items like primary articles (food, minerals), fuel and power, and manufactured products.

WPI vs. CPI:

WPI measures inflation at the producer/wholesale level, while the Consumer Price Index (CPI) measures inflation at the retail/consumer level. WPI often reflects changes earlier in the supply chain.

Why did WPI increase sharply in 2021-2022?

The increase was primarily driven by cost-push factors. Global events like the surge in commodity prices (including crude oil), post-pandemic supply bottlenecks, and high shipping costs made inputs more expensive for producers. These higher costs were then reflected in wholesale prices.

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