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Question

The chance of a student passing an exam is 20%. The chance of a student passing the exam and getting above 90% marks in it is 5% Given that a student passes the examination, the probability that the student gets above 90% marks is

The correct answer is \(\frac{1}{4}\)

Understanding the Exam Probability Problem

This problem involves conditional probability, where we are given information about two events and asked to find the probability of one event occurring given that the other has already occurred. Let's define the events clearly to solve this problem.

Defining Events for Probability Calculation

To accurately calculate the probability, let's assign variables to the events described in the question:

  • Let E be the event that a student passes the exam.
  • Let M be the event that a student gets above 90% marks in the exam.

Given Probabilities for the Exam Scenario

Based on the problem statement, we are provided with the following probabilities:

  • The chance of a student passing an exam is 20%. This can be written as:

    \(P(E) = 20\% = \frac{20}{100} = 0.20\)

  • The chance of a student passing the exam and getting above 90% marks in it is 5%. This means both events E and M occur simultaneously, which is their intersection:

    \(P(M \cap E) = 5\% = \frac{5}{100} = 0.05\)

Applying the Conditional Probability Formula

We are asked to find the probability that the student gets above 90% marks, given that the student passes the examination. This is a classic conditional probability question, represented as \(P(M|E)\). The formula for conditional probability is:

\[P(A|B) = \frac{P(A \cap B)}{P(B)}\]

In our context, 'A' is getting above 90% marks (event M), and 'B' is passing the exam (event E). So, the formula becomes:

\[P(M|E) = \frac{P(M \cap E)}{P(E)}\]

Calculating the Required Probability

Now, we can substitute the given values into the conditional probability formula:

\[P(M|E) = \frac{0.05}{0.20}\]

To simplify this fraction, we can multiply the numerator and denominator by 100 to remove the decimals:

\[P(M|E) = \frac{0.05 \times 100}{0.20 \times 100} = \frac{5}{20}\]

Finally, simplify the fraction by dividing both the numerator and the denominator by their greatest common divisor, which is 5:

\[P(M|E) = \frac{5 \div 5}{20 \div 5} = \frac{1}{4}\]

Final Probability Result for Student Marks

The probability that a student gets above 90% marks, given that the student passes the examination, is \(\frac{1}{4}\).

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Important Questions from Probability and Statistics

  1. If the probability of a bad reaction from a certain injection is 0.001, the chance that out of 2000 individuals, more than two will suffer of a bad reaction is

  2. In an examination involving multiple choice questions, a student works out the solution in 50% of the questions. In the remaining questions the student guesses the answer. However, when the answer is guessed the probability that it is correct is 0.30. When the student works out the solutions it may be wrong with probability 0.10.

    If the answer to a particular question is correct, what is the probability that the student guessed the answer?

  3. The lengths of a large stock of titanium rods follow a normal distribution with a mean (μ) of 440 mm and a standard deviation (σ) of 1 mm. What is the percentage of rods whose lengths lie between 438 mm and 441 mm?

  4. The sum of two normally distributed random variables X and Y is

  5. The standard deviation of a uniformly distributed random variable between 0 and 1 is

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