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Question

Let $\{Y_n: n \ge 1\}$ be a sequence of independent and identically distributed random variables, where $Y_1 \sim \text{Bernoulli}(\frac{1}{2})$. Define $Z = \sum_{n=1}^\infty \frac{4Y_n}{5^n}$. Then, which of the following statements is true?

The correct answer is

$P(Z \ge \frac{3}{5}) = 0.5, P(Z = \frac{4}{25}) = 0$

To solve this problem, we need to analyze the behavior of the random variable \(Z\) defined in the question. The sequence \(\{Y_n: n \ge 1\}\) is composed of independent and identically distributed Bernoulli random variables, each with a success probability of \(\frac{1}{2}\). For each \(n\)\(Y_n\) takes the value 1 with probability \(\frac{1}{2}\) and 0 with probability \(\frac{1}{2}\).

The random variable \(Z\) is defined as:

\(Z = \sum_{n=1}^\infty \frac{4Y_n}{5^n}\).

This series can be seen as a random infinite series with binary coefficients determined by \(Y_n\). Each \(Y_n\) contributes either \(0\) or \(\frac{4}{5^n}\) to the sum.

Calculating the Probability \(P(Z \ge \frac{3}{5})\)

To find \(P(Z \ge \frac{3}{5})\), we consider the contributions from the first few terms:

  • The first term, \(\frac{4Y_1}{5}\), can be either \(0\) or \(\frac{4}{5}\).
  • For \(Z\) to be at least \(\frac{3}{5}\), at least one of these terms must contribute sufficiently to reach this threshold.

If the first term contributes \(\frac{4}{5}\) (i.e., \(Y_1 = 1\)), we already exceed \(\frac{3}{5}\). Since \(Y_1 \sim \text{Bernoulli}\left(\frac{1}{2}\right)\), this happens with probability \(\frac{1}{2}\).

Thus, \(P(Z \ge \frac{3}{5}) = 0.5\).

Calculating the Probability \(P(Z = \frac{4}{25})\)

For \(Z = \frac{4}{25}\), we require the first term to contribute \(0\) and the exact sum from subsequent terms to equal \(\frac{4}{25}\). This is not possible because:

  • \(\frac{4}{25}\) requires \(\frac{4Y_2}{25} = \frac{4}{25}\), which implies \(Y_2 = 1\), contributing exactly \(\frac{4}{25}\).
  • However, since \(Z\) is an infinite sum and other terms also contribute based on their Bernoulli \(Y_n\) outcomes, exact attainment of \(\frac{4}{25}\) becomes impossible as this requires precise matching at infinity, leading to a zero probability.

Therefore, \(P(Z = \frac{4}{25}) = 0\).

Conclusion

The correct choice is the option stating \(P(Z \ge \frac{3}{5}) = 0.5, P(Z = \frac{4}{25}) = 0\). Hence, it confirms that this option accurately describes the distribution of \(Z\) based on how the series behaves.

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Important Questions from Random Variables

  1. Let $X$, $Y$, and $Z$ be independent Normal random variables with means $-1$, $0$, and $1$, respectively, and variances $1$, $1$, and $3$, respectively. Which of the following random variables has a Cauchy distribution with location parameter $0$ and scale parameter $1$?

  2. Consider a finite population of size $N = 100$. Let $T_1$ be the sample mean of a study variable based on a sample of size $n$ ($1 < n < N$) under simple random sampling with replacement scheme. Let $T_2$ be the sample mean of the same study variable based on a sample of size $n$ under simple random sampling without replacement scheme. If $Var(T_1) = 9Var(T_2)$, then the sample size $n$ equals
  3. Let $X_1$ and $X_2$ be a random sample from Uniform$[0, \theta]$ distribution, where $\theta > 0$. For testing the hypothesis
    $H_0: \theta = 1$ against $H_1: \theta = 2$,
    consider a test which rejects $H_0$ if $X_1 + X_2 > \frac{4}{5}$. Then, the probability of type-I error is

  4. Let $X$ be a single sample from an absolutely continuous distribution with probability density function
    $f(x|\theta) = \begin{cases} \frac{2}{\theta^2}(\theta - x), & \text{if } 0 < x < \theta \\ 0, & \text{otherwise,} \end{cases}$
    where $\theta > 0$ is unknown. Which of the following intervals is a $95\%$ confidence interval for $\theta$?

  5. Let $X_1, X_2,..., X_{15}$ be a random sample from an Exponential distribution with the probability density function
    $f(x) = \begin{cases} \frac{1}{\sigma} \exp \left(-\frac{x}{\sigma}\right) & \text{if } x > 0, \\ 0, & \text{elsewhere,} \end{cases}$
    where the unknown parameter $\sigma$ is positive. Let $\bar{X} = \frac{1}{15}\sum_{i=1}^{15} X_i$. Suppose that $\phi$ denotes the likelihood ratio test for testing $H_0: \sigma \le 1$ against $H_1 : \sigma > 1$ at level $\alpha = 0.1$. It is given that $\chi^2_{15,0.1} = 22.307$, $\chi^2_{15,0.9} = 8.547$, $\chi^2_{30,0.1} = 40.256$, $\chi^2_{30,0.9} = 20.599$, where $P(W > \chi^2_{n,\alpha}) = \alpha$ and $W \sim \chi^2_n$. Then which of the following statements are true?

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