Events U and V Probability Rules
This question requires identifying the correct statement concerning probability and events within a sample space S.
Probability Statements Analysis
- Option 1: If P(U) = P(V), then U = V.
This statement is not always true. Different events can have the same probability value without being the same event. For example, if you roll a fair six-sided die, the event of rolling a '1' and the event of rolling a '2' both have a probability of P = 1/6, but they are distinct events.
- Option 2: If P(U) = 0, then Uc = S.
This statement is true. The probability of an event U, P(U), represents its likelihood. If P(U) = 0, it signifies an impossible event. The complement of U, denoted Uc, includes all outcomes not in U. According to the complement rule, P(Uc) = 1 - P(U). Given P(U) = 0, this means P(Uc) = 1 - 0 = 1. The only event with a probability of 1 is the entire sample space, S. Therefore, Uc must be equal to S.
- Option 3: If U ∩ V = φ, then U and V are independent.
This statement is not necessarily true. Events where U ∩ V = φ are called mutually exclusive. For events to be independent, the condition P(U ∩ V) = P(U)P(V) must hold. If events are mutually exclusive, P(U ∩ V) = P(φ) = 0. This equation (0 = P(U)P(V)) is only true if P(U) or P(V) (or both) is 0. If their probabilities are non-zero, mutually exclusive events are dependent.
- Option 4: If U and V are independent, then so are Uc and Vc.
This statement is also true based on probability theory principles.
The focus is on explaining the true statement identified.
P(U)=0 Rule Explanation
This section details why the statement "If P(U) = 0, then Uc = S" is correct:
- Understanding Zero Probability: An event U having P(U) = 0 implies it's an impossible event or has zero measure in the context of the sample space S. This means the event U does not contain any outcomes, or any outcomes it contains have zero probability.
- The Complement Rule: The probability of the complement of an event U, written as P(Uc), is calculated using the fundamental formula P(Uc) = 1 - P(U).
- Applying the Rule: When the probability of event U is given as 0 (P(U) = 0), we substitute this value into the complement rule. This yields P(Uc) = 1 - 0, which simplifies to P(Uc) = 1.
- Probability of the Sample Space: By definition in probability theory, the probability of the entire sample space S occurring is always 1. This is often written as P(S) = 1. The sample space represents the set of all possible outcomes.
- Logical Conclusion: Since we calculated that the probability of the complement event Uc is 1 (P(Uc) = 1), this directly implies that the event Uc must encompass all possible outcomes within the sample space. Therefore, Uc is equivalent to the sample space S.