Let A and B be two events such that \(P(\overline{A \cup B}) = \dfrac{1}{6}\) , P(A ∩ B) = \(\dfrac{1}{4}\) and P(A̅) = \(\dfrac{1}{4}\) , where A̅ stands for complement of event A. Then, events A and B are:
Independent but not equally likely
The problem provides us with certain probabilities related to two events, A and B, and asks us to determine if these events are equally likely, mutually exclusive, or independent based on the given information.
We are given the following probabilities:
We need to use these values to find \(P(A)\) and \(P(B)\) and then check the conditions for equally likely, mutually exclusive, and independent events.
First, let's find the probability of event A, \(P(A)\). We know that \(P(A) = 1 - P(\overline{A})\).
\(P(A) = 1 - P(\overline{A}) = 1 - \dfrac{1}{4} = \dfrac{4 - 1}{4} = \dfrac{3}{4}\)
So, \(P(A) = \dfrac{3}{4}\).
Next, let's find the probability of the union of A and B, \(P(A \cup B)\). We know that \(P(\overline{A \cup B}) = 1 - P(A \cup B)\).
\(P(A \cup B) = 1 - P(\overline{A \cup B}) = 1 - \dfrac{1}{6} = \dfrac{6 - 1}{6} = \dfrac{5}{6}\)
So, \(P(A \cup B) = \dfrac{5}{6}\).
Now we can find the probability of event B, \(P(B)\), using the formula for the probability of the union of two events:
\(P(A \cup B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A \cap B)\)
Substitute the values we know:
\(\dfrac{5}{6} = \dfrac{3}{4} + P(B) - \dfrac{1}{4}\)
Combine the terms on the right side:
\(\dfrac{5}{6} = \dfrac{3}{4} - \dfrac{1}{4} + P(B)\)
\(\dfrac{5}{6} = \dfrac{2}{4} + P(B)\)
\(\dfrac{5}{6} = \dfrac{1}{2} + P(B)\)
Solve for \(P(B)\):
\(P(B) = \dfrac{5}{6} - \dfrac{1}{2}\)
To subtract, find a common denominator, which is 6:
\(P(B) = \dfrac{5}{6} - \dfrac{1 \times 3}{2 \times 3} = \dfrac{5}{6} - \dfrac{3}{6} = \dfrac{5 - 3}{6} = \dfrac{2}{6} = \dfrac{1}{3}\)
So, \(P(B) = \dfrac{1}{3}\).
Now that we have \(P(A)\) and \(P(B)\), we can check if the events A and B are equally likely, mutually exclusive, or independent.
Events A and B are equally likely if \(P(A) = P(B)\).
We found \(P(A) = \dfrac{3}{4}\) and \(P(B) = \dfrac{1}{3}\).
Since \(\dfrac{3}{4} \neq \dfrac{1}{3}\), events A and B are not equally likely.
Events A and B are mutually exclusive if they cannot happen at the same time, which means their intersection is empty. In terms of probability, this means \(P(A \cap B) = 0\).
We are given \(P(A \cap B) = \dfrac{1}{4}\).
Since \(P(A \cap B) = \dfrac{1}{4} \neq 0\), events A and B are not mutually exclusive.
Events A and B are independent if the occurrence of one does not affect the probability of the other. In terms of probability, this means \(P(A \cap B) = P(A) \times P(B)\).
We have \(P(A \cap B) = \dfrac{1}{4}\).
Let's calculate \(P(A) \times P(B)\):
\(P(A) \times P(B) = \dfrac{3}{4} \times \dfrac{1}{3} = \dfrac{3 \times 1}{4 \times 3} = \dfrac{3}{12} = \dfrac{1}{4}\)
Since \(P(A \cap B) = \dfrac{1}{4}\) and \(P(A) \times P(B) = \dfrac{1}{4}\), we see that \(P(A \cap B) = P(A) \times P(B)\).
Therefore, events A and B are independent.
Based on our calculations:
Thus, events A and B are independent but not equally likely.
| Concept | Definition | Condition |
|---|---|---|
| Equally Likely Events | Events with the same probability of occurrence. | \(P(A) = P(B)\) |
| Mutually Exclusive Events | Events that cannot occur at the same time (no common outcomes). | \(A \cap B = \emptyset\) or \(P(A \cap B) = 0\) |
| Independent Events | Events where the outcome of one does not affect the outcome of the other. | \(P(A \cap B) = P(A) \times P(B)\) or \(P(A|B) = P(A)\) if \(P(B) > 0\) or \(P(B|A) = P(B)\) if \(P(A) > 0\) |
Here are some fundamental probability rules used in solving this problem:
Understanding these basic rules is crucial for solving probability problems involving multiple events.
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