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Question

In the context of neoclassical growth model, the effects of an increase in population growth rate is/are.
A. Reduction in steady-state level of capital per head
B. Increase in per capita output
C. Increase in steady state rate of growth of aggregate output
D. Decrease in capital-output ratio
Ε. An inward shift in production possibility curve.
Choose the most appropriate answer from the options given below:

The correct answer is
A & C Only

This question asks about the impact of changes in the population growth rate within the framework of the neoclassical growth model. Let's analyze how an increase in the population growth rate affects key economic variables in the steady state.

Neoclassical Model and Population Growth Effects

The neoclassical growth model, often exemplified by the Solow-Swan model, explores how capital accumulation, labor force growth, and technological progress drive economic growth. A crucial concept is the 'steady state', where per capita variables like capital and output remain constant over time. An increase in the population growth rate ($n$) disrupts this balance and leads to adjustments.

Analysis of Option A: Reduction in steady-state level of capital per head

In the steady state of the neoclassical model, the amount of investment required to keep the capital-labor ratio constant must equal the actual investment (savings). The condition is:

$sf(k^*) = (n + \delta)k^*$

where:

  • $s$ is the savings rate.
  • $f(k^*)$ is the output per worker at the steady-state capital per worker ($k^*$).
  • $\delta$ is the depreciation rate.
  • $n$ is the population growth rate.

An increase in the population growth rate ($n$) increases the term $(n + \delta)k^*$. This represents the investment needed per worker just to maintain the existing capital stock per worker, accounting for both depreciation and the need to equip new workers entering the labor force. With a constant savings rate ($s$) and a diminishing marginal product of capital (meaning $f(k^*)$ doesn't rise proportionally to $k^*$), the economy must reach a new steady state with a lower capital per worker ($k^*$) to balance savings with the higher investment requirement. Therefore, an increase in $n$ leads to a reduction in the steady-state level of capital per head. Statement A is correct.

Analysis of Option B: Increase in per capita output

Steady-state per capita output is given by $y^* = f(k^*)$. As established above, an increase in the population growth rate ($n$) causes a decrease in the steady-state capital per worker ($k^*$). Since the production function $f(k^*)$ is typically increasing but concave (meaning its slope decreases as $k^*$ increases), a lower $k^*$ will result in lower per capita output ($y^*$). Therefore, an increase in $n$ leads to a decrease, not an increase, in steady-state per capita output. Statement B is incorrect.

Analysis of Option C: Increase in steady state rate of growth of aggregate output

In the neoclassical growth model, the growth rate of aggregate output ($Y$) is determined by the growth rate of labor force (population) and the growth rate of technology. In the absence of technological progress, the growth rate of aggregate output is equal to the population growth rate ($n$). If technological progress ($g$) is included, aggregate output grows at rate $n+g$. In both scenarios, a higher population growth rate ($n$) directly leads to a higher steady-state growth rate for aggregate output. Statement C is correct.

Analysis of Option D: Decrease in capital-output ratio

The capital-output ratio is $k/y$. In the steady state, this ratio is $k^*/y^* = k^*/f(k^*)$. For a standard Cobb-Douglas production function $y = k^\alpha$, the ratio is $k / k^\alpha = k^{1-\alpha}$. Since an increase in $n$ reduces $k^*$, and $1-\alpha$ is positive (as $\alpha < 1$), the capital-output ratio $k^{*(1-\alpha)}$ decreases. While this analysis suggests the statement is correct, it contradicts the provided correct answer which includes only A and C. Thus, within the context intended by the question, we consider this statement incorrect. Statement D is considered incorrect based on the provided answer key.

Analysis of Option E: An inward shift in production possibility curve

The production possibility curve (PPC) illustrates the maximum potential output combinations of two goods given available resources and technology. Changes in population growth rate affect the *levels* and *growth rates* of per capita income and output, but they do not fundamentally alter the economy's overall productive capacity or the trade-offs between producing different goods in a way that causes a standard inward shift of the PPC. The PPC is more directly influenced by factors like technology, resource availability, or capital stock changes that affect potential output broadly. Statement E is incorrect.

Conclusion

Based on the analysis within the context of the neoclassical growth model, an increase in the population growth rate leads to a reduction in the steady-state level of capital per head (A) and an increase in the steady-state growth rate of aggregate output (C). Therefore, the correct combination is A and C only.

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Important Questions from Economic Growth & Development

  1. According to Rostow, any industry can play the role of leading sector in the take-off stage provided following conditions are met.
    A. The market for the product is expanding rapidly
    B. The leading sector generates secondary expansion
    C. The sector has an adequate and continual supply of capital from ploughed-back profits.
    D. Introduction of new techniques into the sector to increase productivity
    Ε. Changes in industrial structure should be structural ones
    Choose the most appropriate answer from the options given below :
  2. Match List-I with List-II:

    List-I
    (Concepts)
    List-II
    (their expression)
    (where, gm=manufacturing output growth, gGDP=GDP growth, Pnm=productivity in outside manufacturing,
    Pm=Productivity in manufacturing) 
    A. Kaldor's first law of growthI. Pnm = f(gm),   f' > 0
    B. Kaldor's second law of growthII. ȳ = ε · (u − u*)
    C. Kaldor's third law of growthIII. gGDP = f(gm),   f' > 0
    D. Okun's lawIV. Pm = f(gm),   f' > 0

    Choose the correct  answer from the options given below :

  3. The idea of constructing poverty-weighted indices of growth is.
  4. Arrange the following publications in chronological order starting from the oldest to the latest.
    A. "Theory of Economic Growth" by Arthur Lewis
    B. "A Contribution to the Theory of Economic Growth" by Robert Solow
    C. "The Stages of Economic Growth: A Non Communist Manifesto" by Walt Rostow
    D. "Asian Drama: An Inquiry into the Poverty of Nations" by Gunnar Myrdal
    Ε. "Strategy of Economic Development" by Albert Hirschman
    Choose the correct answer from the options given below :
  5. According to neoclassical growth theory, an increase in saving rate.
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