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Question

If a random variable X follows a Poisson distribution such that
$P(X=1) = 4P (X=2)$
The variance of X is

The correct answer is
1/2

Poisson Variance Calculation Explained

This problem asks us to find the variance of a random variable X that follows a Poisson distribution. We are given a specific relationship between two probabilities: $P(X=1) = 4P(X=2)$.

Understanding the Poisson Distribution

The Poisson distribution is a discrete probability distribution used to model the number of events occurring within a fixed interval of time or space. The probability mass function (PMF) for a Poisson random variable X with mean $\lambda$ (lambda) is given by:

$P(X=k) = \frac{e^{-\lambda}\lambda^k}{k!}$

where:

  • $k$ is the number of occurrences (a non-negative integer: 0, 1, 2, ...).
  • $\lambda$ is the average rate of occurrences (mean, $\lambda > 0$).
  • $e$ is the base of the natural logarithm (approximately 2.71828).
  • $k!$ is the factorial of $k$.

A key property of the Poisson distribution is that its variance is equal to its mean:

$Var(X) = \lambda$

Our goal is to use the given probability condition to find the value of $\lambda$, and that value will be the variance.

Applying the Probability Condition

First, let's write out the expressions for $P(X=1)$ and $P(X=2)$ using the PMF:

  • For $k=1$: $P(X=1) = \frac{e^{-\lambda}\lambda^1}{1!} = \frac{e^{-\lambda}\lambda}{1} = e^{-\lambda}\lambda$
  • For $k=2$: $P(X=2) = \frac{e^{-\lambda}\lambda^2}{2!} = \frac{e^{-\lambda}\lambda^2}{2} $

Now, we substitute these into the given equation $P(X=1) = 4P(X=2)$:

$e^{-\lambda}\lambda = 4 \times \left( \frac{e^{-\lambda}\lambda^2}{2} \right)$

Solving for the Parameter $\lambda$

Let's simplify the equation to solve for $\lambda$:

  1. Cancel out $e^{-\lambda}$ from both sides (since $e^{-\lambda}$ is always positive and never zero): $\lambda = 4 \times \left( \frac{\lambda^2}{2} \right)$
  2. Simplify the right side: $\lambda = 2\lambda^2$
  3. Rearrange the equation to solve for $\lambda$: $2\lambda^2 - \lambda = 0$
  4. Factor out $\lambda$: $\lambda(2\lambda - 1) = 0$
  5. This equation gives two possible solutions for $\lambda$: $\lambda = 0$ or $2\lambda - 1 = 0$.

If $\lambda = 0$, the distribution is degenerate ($P(X=0)=1$), and $P(X=1)=0$, $P(X=2)=0$. The condition $0 = 4 \times 0$ holds, but the variance would be 0. Since the options include non-zero values, we consider the other solution.

Solving $2\lambda - 1 = 0$ gives:

$2\lambda = 1$ $\lambda = \frac{1}{2}$

This is a valid parameter for a Poisson distribution ($\lambda > 0$).

Determining the Variance

As mentioned earlier, for a Poisson distribution, the variance is equal to the parameter $\lambda$. Since we found $\lambda = \frac{1}{2}$, the variance of X is:

$Var(X) = \lambda = \frac{1}{2}$

Conclusion

The variance of the random variable X is $\frac{1}{2}$.

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Important Questions from Probability Distribution

  1. If the mean and variance of a binomial distribution are 5 and 4, respectively, then the value of n is:

  2. For the distribution with unknown θ

    \(f(x,\theta ) = \left\{ {\begin{array}{*{20}{c}} {\frac{1}{\theta };0 \le x \le \theta }\\ {0;elsewhere} \end{array}} \right.\)

    We set the testing of hypothesis H 0 ∶ θ = 1 vs H 1 ∶ θ = 2. When the critical region X ≥ 0.4, the value of probability of type-II error is:

  3. For the cumulative distribution function \(F(x) = \left\{ {\begin{array}{*{20}{c}} {0;x < - 1}\\ {\frac{1}{2}{{(x + 1)}^2}; - 1 \le x < 0}\\ {1 - \frac{{{{(1 - x)}^2}}}{2};0 \le x < 1}\\ {1.1 < x < \infty } \end{array}} \right.\)

    the upper quartile point is

  4. Let the joint probability density function of \( (X, Y) \) be

    \[f(x, y) = \begin{cases} 6xy^2 & \text{if } 0 < x < 1, 0 < y < 1 \\ 0, & \text{otherwise} \end{cases}\]

     

    Then \( P\left(\frac{1}{2} < X < \frac{3}{4}\right) \) is:

  5. Let X and Y have the joint p.m.f. f(x, y) = x + y / 21, where x = 1, 2, 3 and y = 1, 2. The marginal p.m.f. of X is:

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