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Question

According to which one of the following theories, differences in nominal interest rates will be eliminated in the exchange rate ?

The correct answer is
Fisher Effect Economic Theory

Fisher Effect Theory and Exchange Rates Explained

The question asks which economic theory suggests that differences in nominal interest rates are eliminated through adjustments in the exchange rate.

Fisher Effect Theory

The Fisher Effect Economic Theory directly addresses this relationship. Key points include:

  • The theory links nominal interest rates ($i$), real interest rates ($r$), and expected inflation ($\pi^e$) with the formula: $i = r + \pi^e$.
  • It implies that differences in nominal interest rates between countries are primarily driven by differences in expected inflation rates.
  • The international Fisher Effect specifically predicts that the exchange rate will adjust to offset the difference in nominal interest rates.
  • This adjustment means that the expected rate of currency depreciation or appreciation between two countries equals the difference in their nominal interest rates. Essentially, it equalizes the real return on investments across countries, removing arbitrage opportunities based solely on interest rate differentials.

Other Theories Considered

The other options do not align with the question's premise:

  • Leontief Paradox Trade Theory: Focuses on the contradiction between the predicted factor proportions (capital-labor ratio) in U.S. trade and the actual trade data. It does not deal with interest rates or exchange rates.
  • Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) Theory: Relates exchange rates to differences in price levels between countries. While it involves exchange rates and inflation, it doesn't specifically focus on the elimination of *nominal interest rate* differences via exchange rate adjustments in the manner described by the Fisher Effect. PPP focuses on the long-run equilibrium exchange rate based on relative price levels.
  • Combined Equilibrium Theory: This is not a standard, recognized economic theory for explaining the relationship between nominal interest rates and exchange rates.

Therefore, the Fisher Effect is the theory that predicts the elimination of nominal interest rate differences through exchange rate adjustments.

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Important Questions from Foreign exchange market

  1. In which year did the companies IBM and Coca Cola shut down their operations for not being able to comply with the Foreign Exchange Regulation Act that mandated foreign investors cannot own over 40% in Indian enterprises?

  2. Identify the drivers for increased Foreign Institutional Investment flows in Indian stock markets in recent times

    A. Covid-19 pandemic driven liquidity outflows from the western capital markets

    B. Geopolitical supply chain relocations

    C. Increased India weightage in MSCI Emerging Market Index

    D. Steep decline in interest rates in large market friendly economies

    E. Favourable risk-reward ratios in Indian stock markets

    Choose the correct  answer from the options given below:

  3. Which of the following constitutes Foreign Direct Investment?

  4. Arrange the following modes of entry in foreign markets starting with the mode of entry having least commitment, risk, control and profit potential:

    (A) Company hires a local manufacturer to produce the product.

    (B) Company starts exports working through domestic export agents and exports management companies.

    (C) Company joins hands with local investor and forms a company in which both share ownership and control.

    (D) Company starts export using domestic export department and overseas sales branch.

    (E) Company offers a complete brand concept and operating system to an investor in return of certain fee.

    Choose the correct answer from the options given below:

  5. Given below are two statements: One is labelled as Assertion A and the other is labelled as Reason R.

    Assertion (A):  Sustained current account surplus encourages the government to liberalize imports and capital movements.

    Reasons (R):  The current account and balance of payments positions of a country can significantly influence its economic policies.

    In the light of the above statements, choose the correct answer from the options given below:

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