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Question

A purse contains 4 copper coins and 3 silver coins. A second purse contains 6 copper coins and 4 silver coins. A purse is chosen randomly and a coin is taken out of it. What is the probability that it is a copper coin?

The correct answer is

41/70

Understanding the Coin Purse Problem Setup

We have two purses, each containing a different mix of copper and silver coins. The task is to find the probability of picking a copper coin after first randomly selecting one of the purses.

Analyzing Coin Probabilities in Each Purse

Let's break down the contents and probabilities for each purse:

  • Purse 1 Details:
    • Number of copper coins = 4
    • Number of silver coins = 3
    • Total number of coins = $4 + 3 = 7$
    • Probability of drawing a copper coin from Purse 1: $P(\text{Copper} | \text{Purse 1}) = \frac{4}{7}$
  • Purse 2 Details:
    • Number of copper coins = 6
    • Number of silver coins = 4
    • Total number of coins = $6 + 4 = 10$
    • Probability of drawing a copper coin from Purse 2: $P(\text{Copper} | \text{Purse 2}) = \frac{6}{10} = \frac{3}{5}$

Applying the Law of Total Probability for Coin Selection

A purse is chosen randomly, meaning each purse has an equal chance of being selected:

  • Probability of choosing Purse 1: $P(\text{Purse 1}) = \frac{1}{2}$
  • Probability of choosing Purse 2: $P(\text{Purse 2}) = \frac{1}{2}$

We use the Law of Total Probability to find the overall probability of drawing a copper coin. This involves summing the probabilities of drawing a copper coin from each purse, weighted by the probability of selecting that purse.

The formula is:

$P(\text{Copper}) = P(\text{Copper} | \text{Purse 1}) \times P(\text{Purse 1}) + P(\text{Copper} | \text{Purse 2}) \times P(\text{Purse 2})$

Step-by-Step Calculation

  1. Substitute the known probabilities into the formula: $P(\text{Copper}) = \left( \frac{4}{7} \right) \times \left( \frac{1}{2} \right) + \left( \frac{3}{5} \right) \times \left( \frac{1}{2} \right)$
  2. Perform the multiplication for each term: $P(\text{Copper}) = \frac{4}{14} + \frac{3}{10}$
  3. Simplify the first fraction: $P(\text{Copper}) = \frac{2}{7} + \frac{3}{10}$
  4. Find a common denominator to add the fractions. The least common multiple of 7 and 10 is 70. $P(\text{Copper}) = \frac{2 \times 10}{7 \times 10} + \frac{3 \times 7}{10 \times 7}$
  5. Add the fractions: $P(\text{Copper}) = \frac{20}{70} + \frac{21}{70} = \frac{20 + 21}{70}$
  6. Final result: $P(\text{Copper}) = \frac{41}{70}$

Conclusion on Copper Coin Probability

The probability of drawing a copper coin after randomly choosing a purse is $\frac{41}{70}$.

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Important Questions from Types of Probability

  1. For the joint density f xy (x, y) = x 2 + Cy; 0 ≤ x ≤ 1, 0 ≤ y ≤ 1,  the value of constant C is:

  2. Let A, B, C be 3 independent events such that P(A) = \(\frac{1}{3}\) , P(B) = \(\frac{1}{2}\) , P(C) = \(\frac{1}{4}\) , then probability of exactly 2 events occurring out of 3 events is:

  3. If f(x) is a probability density on the real line, then which of the following is NOT a valid probability density?

  4. An event has 4 possible outcomes with probabilities 1/2, 1/4, 1/8, 1/16. What will be the rate of information if there are approximately 24 outcomes/second possible?

  5. A die is tossed three times, What is the probability of getting an odd number at least once ?

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