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Question

A purse contains 4 copper coins and 3 silver coins. A second purse contains 6 copper coins and 4 silver coins. A purse is chosen randomly and a coin is taken out of it. What is the probability that it is a copper coin?

The correct answer is

41/70

Understanding the Coin Purse Problem Setup

We have two purses, each containing a different mix of copper and silver coins. The task is to find the probability of picking a copper coin after first randomly selecting one of the purses.

Analyzing Coin Probabilities in Each Purse

Let's break down the contents and probabilities for each purse:

  • Purse 1 Details:
    • Number of copper coins = 4
    • Number of silver coins = 3
    • Total number of coins = $4 + 3 = 7$
    • Probability of drawing a copper coin from Purse 1: $P(\text{Copper} | \text{Purse 1}) = \frac{4}{7}$
  • Purse 2 Details:
    • Number of copper coins = 6
    • Number of silver coins = 4
    • Total number of coins = $6 + 4 = 10$
    • Probability of drawing a copper coin from Purse 2: $P(\text{Copper} | \text{Purse 2}) = \frac{6}{10} = \frac{3}{5}$

Applying the Law of Total Probability for Coin Selection

A purse is chosen randomly, meaning each purse has an equal chance of being selected:

  • Probability of choosing Purse 1: $P(\text{Purse 1}) = \frac{1}{2}$
  • Probability of choosing Purse 2: $P(\text{Purse 2}) = \frac{1}{2}$

We use the Law of Total Probability to find the overall probability of drawing a copper coin. This involves summing the probabilities of drawing a copper coin from each purse, weighted by the probability of selecting that purse.

The formula is:

$P(\text{Copper}) = P(\text{Copper} | \text{Purse 1}) \times P(\text{Purse 1}) + P(\text{Copper} | \text{Purse 2}) \times P(\text{Purse 2})$

Step-by-Step Calculation

  1. Substitute the known probabilities into the formula: $P(\text{Copper}) = \left( \frac{4}{7} \right) \times \left( \frac{1}{2} \right) + \left( \frac{3}{5} \right) \times \left( \frac{1}{2} \right)$
  2. Perform the multiplication for each term: $P(\text{Copper}) = \frac{4}{14} + \frac{3}{10}$
  3. Simplify the first fraction: $P(\text{Copper}) = \frac{2}{7} + \frac{3}{10}$
  4. Find a common denominator to add the fractions. The least common multiple of 7 and 10 is 70. $P(\text{Copper}) = \frac{2 \times 10}{7 \times 10} + \frac{3 \times 7}{10 \times 7}$
  5. Add the fractions: $P(\text{Copper}) = \frac{20}{70} + \frac{21}{70} = \frac{20 + 21}{70}$
  6. Final result: $P(\text{Copper}) = \frac{41}{70}$

Conclusion on Copper Coin Probability

The probability of drawing a copper coin after randomly choosing a purse is $\frac{41}{70}$.

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Important Questions from Types of Probability

  1. If f(x) is a probability density on the real line, then which of the following is NOT a valid probability density?

  2. The probability of student A passing an exam is 2/7 and that of B passing is 5/7. If these probabilities are independent, what is the probability that only B passes the examination

  3. A die is tossed three times, What is the probability of getting an odd number at least once ?

  4. There are two containers, with one containing 4 Red and 3 Green balls and the other containing 3 Blue and 4 Green balls. One ball is drawn at random from each container. The probability that one of the balls is Red and the other is Blue will be
  5. Two coins are simultaneously tossed. The probability of two heads simultaneously appearing is

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