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Question

A discrete random variable X has the following probability distribution.

X1234567
P(X)K2K2K3KK 22K 27K 2 + K

What is the value of K?

The correct answer is \(\frac{1}{10}\)

Solving for K in a Discrete Probability Distribution

A discrete random variable X has a probability distribution defined by P(X=x) for each possible value x. A fundamental property of any probability distribution is that the sum of the probabilities for all possible values of the random variable must equal 1. This means \(\sum P(X=x) = 1\).

In this given problem, the discrete random variable X can take values 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, and 7. The corresponding probabilities are given in terms of K:

  • P(X=1) = K
  • P(X=2) = 2K
  • P(X=3) = 2K
  • P(X=4) = 3K
  • P(X=5) = K2
  • P(X=6) = 2K2
  • P(X=7) = 7K2 + K

To find the value of K, we use the property that the sum of all these probabilities is 1:

\(\sum_{x=1}^{7} P(X=x) = P(X=1) + P(X=2) + P(X=3) + P(X=4) + P(X=5) + P(X=6) + P(X=7) = 1\)

Substitute the given probabilities into the equation:

\(K + 2K + 2K + 3K + K^2 + 2K^2 + 7K^2 + K = 1\)

Now, combine the terms involving K and the terms involving K2:

\((K + 2K + 2K + 3K + K) + (K^2 + 2K^2 + 7K^2) = 1\)

Summing the K terms:

\(K + 2K + 2K + 3K + K = (1+2+2+3+1)K = 9K\)

Summing the K2 terms:

\(K^2 + 2K^2 + 7K^2 = (1+2+7)K^2 = 10K^2\)

So, the equation becomes:

\(9K + 10K^2 = 1\)

Rearrange this into a standard quadratic equation form (ax2 + bx + c = 0):

\(10K^2 + 9K - 1 = 0\)

We can solve this quadratic equation for K. One common method is factoring. We look for two numbers that multiply to (10)(-1) = -10 and add up to 9. These numbers are +10 and -1.

Rewrite the middle term using these numbers:

\(10K^2 + 10K - K - 1 = 0\)

Group terms and factor by grouping:

\((10K^2 + 10K) - (K + 1) = 0\)

Factor out common terms from each group:

\(10K(K + 1) - 1(K + 1) = 0\)

Factor out the common binomial factor (K + 1):

\((10K - 1)(K + 1) = 0\)

This gives two possible solutions for K:

\(10K - 1 = 0 \implies 10K = 1 \implies K = \frac{1}{10}\)

\(K + 1 = 0 \implies K = -1\)

In a probability distribution, all probabilities P(X=x) must be non-negative (P(X=x) \(\ge\) 0). Let's check both possible values of K.

  • If \(K = -1\): P(X=1) = K = -1. This is not a valid probability as probabilities cannot be negative. So, \(K = -1\) is rejected.
  • If \(K = \frac{1}{10}\):
    • P(X=1) = \(K = \frac{1}{10}\) (\(\ge\) 0)
    • P(X=2) = \(2K = 2 \times \frac{1}{10} = \frac{2}{10}\) (\(\ge\) 0)
    • P(X=3) = \(2K = 2 \times \frac{1}{10} = \frac{2}{10}\) (\(\ge\) 0)
    • P(X=4) = \(3K = 3 \times \frac{1}{10} = \frac{3}{10}\) (\(\ge\) 0)
    • P(X=5) = \(K^2 = (\frac{1}{10})^2 = \frac{1}{100}\) (\(\ge\) 0)
    • P(X=6) = \(2K^2 = 2 \times (\frac{1}{10})^2 = \frac{2}{100}\) (\(\ge\) 0)
    • P(X=7) = \(7K^2 + K = 7 \times (\frac{1}{10})^2 + \frac{1}{10} = \frac{7}{100} + \frac{10}{100} = \frac{17}{100}\) (\(\ge\) 0)

All probabilities are non-negative when \(K = \frac{1}{10}\), and their sum is 1. Therefore, the valid value for K is \(\frac{1}{10}\).

Revision Table: Key Concepts

Concept Description
Discrete Random Variable A variable whose value is obtained by counting (e.g., number of heads in coin flips, number of defective items). It can only take specific, separate values.
Probability Distribution A table or function that lists all possible values of a random variable and their corresponding probabilities.
Sum of Probabilities For any valid probability distribution, the sum of the probabilities for all possible outcomes must equal exactly 1. \(\sum P(X=x) = 1\).
Quadratic Equation An equation of the form \(ax^2 + bx + c = 0\), where \(x\) is the variable, and \(a, b, c\) are constants with \(a \neq 0\). Solutions can be found by factoring, completing the square, or using the quadratic formula.

Additional Information: Properties of Probability Distributions

Understanding probability distributions is crucial in statistics. Here are some key properties and related concepts:

  • Discrete vs. Continuous: Random variables can be discrete (countable outcomes) or continuous (outcomes over a range). The rules for their probability distributions differ.
  • Probability Mass Function (PMF): For a discrete random variable, the probability distribution is often called a Probability Mass Function (PMF), denoted by P(X=x) or f(x). It gives the probability that the random variable X takes on a specific value x.
  • Requirements for a Valid PMF: For a function P(x) to be a valid PMF, it must satisfy two conditions:
    • \(0 \le P(x) \le 1\) for all possible values of x.
    • \(\sum P(x) = 1\) over all possible values of x.
  • Expected Value: The expected value (or mean) of a discrete random variable X is calculated as \(E(X) = \sum x \cdot P(X=x)\).
  • Variance: The variance of a discrete random variable X is calculated as \(Var(X) = E(X^2) - [E(X)]^2\), where \(E(X^2) = \sum x^2 \cdot P(X=x)\).

Solving for unknown constants like K often involves using the sum of probabilities property, which frequently leads to solving algebraic equations, including quadratic equations as seen in this problem.

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Important Questions from Probability Distribution

  1. If the mean and variance of a binomial distribution are 5 and 4, respectively, then the value of n is:

  2. For the distribution with unknown θ

    \(f(x,\theta ) = \left\{ {\begin{array}{*{20}{c}} {\frac{1}{\theta };0 \le x \le \theta }\\ {0;elsewhere} \end{array}} \right.\)

    We set the testing of hypothesis H 0 ∶ θ = 1 vs H 1 ∶ θ = 2. When the critical region X ≥ 0.4, the value of probability of type-II error is:

  3. For the cumulative distribution function \(F(x) = \left\{ {\begin{array}{*{20}{c}} {0;x < - 1}\\ {\frac{1}{2}{{(x + 1)}^2}; - 1 \le x < 0}\\ {1 - \frac{{{{(1 - x)}^2}}}{2};0 \le x < 1}\\ {1.1 < x < \infty } \end{array}} \right.\)

    the upper quartile point is

  4. Let the joint probability density function of \( (X, Y) \) be

    \[f(x, y) = \begin{cases} 6xy^2 & \text{if } 0 < x < 1, 0 < y < 1 \\ 0, & \text{otherwise} \end{cases}\]

     

    Then \( P\left(\frac{1}{2} < X < \frac{3}{4}\right) \) is:

  5. Let X and Y have the joint p.m.f. f(x, y) = x + y / 21, where x = 1, 2, 3 and y = 1, 2. The marginal p.m.f. of X is:

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