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Question

A box contains 4 white balls and 3 red balls. In succession, two balls are randomly and removed from the box. Given that the first removed ball is white, the probability that the second removed ball is red is

The correct answer is

1/2

This problem involves calculating a conditional probability. We are given a scenario where balls are drawn from a box without replacement, and we need to find the probability of an event occurring given that another event has already happened.

Initial Ball Count in the Box

Initially, the box contains:

  • 4 white balls (W)
  • 3 red balls (R)

The total number of balls in the box at the start is $4 + 3 = 7$.

Understanding the Conditional Event

We are given specific information: "the first removed ball is white". This is the condition that we know has occurred. This changes the state of the box for the second draw.

Updated Ball Count After First Draw

Since the first ball removed was white, we now have one less white ball and one less total ball in the box.

After the first white ball is removed, the box contains:

  • $4 - 1 = 3$ white balls
  • 3 red balls

The new total number of balls in the box is $3 + 3 = 6$.

Calculating the Probability of the Second Ball Being Red

Now, we need to find the probability that the second ball removed is red, given the updated state of the box. This is a direct probability calculation from the remaining balls.

The probability is calculated as the ratio of the number of favorable outcomes (drawing a red ball) to the total number of possible outcomes (total remaining balls).

Probability (Second ball is Red | First ball is White) = $\frac{\text{Number of red balls remaining}}{\text{Total number of balls remaining}}$

Substituting the numbers:

Probability = $\frac{3}{6}$

Simplifying the fraction:

Probability = $\frac{1}{2}$

So, the probability that the second removed ball is red, given the first removed ball was white, is $\frac{1}{2}$.

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Important Questions from Probability and Statistics

  1. In a frequency curve, what is plotted on the vertical axis?

  2. If the probability of a bad reaction from a certain injection is 0.001, the chance that out of 2000 individuals, more than two will suffer of a bad reaction is

  3. If x and y are deviation from mean x̅ and y̅ respectively and if r = 0.5, ∑xy =  120, σy = 8 and ∑x 2= 90, what is the value of 'n' ?

  4. In an examination involving multiple choice questions, a student works out the solution in 50% of the questions. In the remaining questions the student guesses the answer. However, when the answer is guessed the probability that it is correct is 0.30. When the student works out the solutions it may be wrong with probability 0.10.

    If the answer to a particular question is correct, what is the probability that the student guessed the answer?

  5. The lengths of a large stock of titanium rods follow a normal distribution with a mean (μ) of 440 mm and a standard deviation (σ) of 1 mm. What is the percentage of rods whose lengths lie between 438 mm and 441 mm?

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